Tenable Holdings Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average

TENB Stock  USD 21.83  0.29  1.35%   
8 Period Moving Average is applied to Tenable Holdings's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. These values update automatically with each new closing price. The 8 Period Moving Average model projects Tenable Holdings at 21.29 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This 8 Period Moving Average output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
The eight-period moving average forecast for Tenable Holdings replaces each daily closing price with the mean of that value and the eight preceding observations. This wider window produces a smoother series that filters out short-term volatility.

8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average model forecasts Tenable Holdings at 21.29 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.05 , and sum of absolute errors of 49.54 .
This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Tenable Holdings' price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

The projected range for Tenable Holdings reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. Downside is estimated near 17.65 and upside near 24.93. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Market Value
21.83
21.29
Expected Value
24.93

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the 8 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Tenable Holdings stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.6715
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1255
MADMean absolute deviation0.9346
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.049
SAESum of the absolute errors49.535
The eight-period window effectively dampens daily peaks and troughs in Tenable Holdings price data, making the underlying trend more visible. However, the model can only be used reliably for one or two periods ahead. A flat forecast line in a trending market indicates the smoothing window is too wide for the current price dynamics.

Other Forecasting Options for Tenable Holdings

Tenable Holdings' daily price returns decompose into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Tenable Holdings often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration. Gap analysis of Tenable Holdings Stock data examines overnight jumps between Tenable Holdings' closing and opening prices.

Tenable Holdings Related Equities

The peer firms below within the Information Technology space frame Tenable Holdings' pricing and running costs in context. Looking at Tenable Holdings' pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. When Tenable Holdings breaks from its peer group on a key metric, it often signals a firm-level change worth exploring.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tenable Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Tenable Holdings stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Tenable Holdings. Median and Typical Price smooth out intraday extremes, providing a cleaner reference level for evaluating Tenable Holdings sessions.

Tenable Holdings Risk Indicators

Assessing Tenable Holdings' risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for tenable holdings stock. The level of risk embedded in Tenable Holdings' feeds directly into exposure calibration. Comparing Tenable Holdings' downside variance to total variance reveals whether the risk profile is skewed toward losses.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Tenable Holdings Short Properties

Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Tenable Holdings is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. This is applicable when the question is whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.12 million
Cash And Short Term Investments402.18 million