Tenable Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| TENB Stock | USD 21.23 1.47 7.44% |
Tenable Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tenable Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Tenable Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Tenable Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of Tenable Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3979 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8728 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0807 | Wall Street Target Price 30.9474 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.414 |
Using Tenable Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tenable Holdings from the perspective of Tenable Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tenable Holdings using Tenable Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tenable using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tenable Holdings' stock price.
Tenable Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Tenable Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Tenable. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Tenable Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 29.1886 | Short Percent 0.061 | Short Ratio 3.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 5 M | 50 Day MA 23.9702 |
Tenable Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tenable Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.75.Tenable Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Tenable Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tenable. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tenable can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tenable Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tenable Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tenable Holdings.
Tenable Holdings Implied Volatility | 1.14 |
Tenable Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tenable Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tenable Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tenable Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tenable Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tenable Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.75. Tenable Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 21.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tenable Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tenable contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tenable Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0712% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Tenable Holdings trading at USD 21.23, that is roughly USD 0.0151 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tenable Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tenable Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.14%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Tenable Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tenable Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tenable Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tenable Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tenable Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Tenable Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tenable Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tenable. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Tenable Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tenable price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tenable using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tenable charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tenable Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tenable Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tenable Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tenable Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tenable Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tenable Holdings | Tenable Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Tenable Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tenable Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tenable Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.01 and 23.45, respectively. We have considered Tenable Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tenable Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tenable Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2449 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1706 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4292 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0184 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.755 |
Predictive Modules for Tenable Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tenable Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tenable Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tenable Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tenable Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tenable Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tenable Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tenable Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tenable Holdings' historical news coverage. Tenable Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.22 and 23.66, respectively. We have considered Tenable Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tenable Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tenable Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tenable Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tenable Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tenable Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tenable Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 2.22 | 0.21 | 0.10 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.23 | 21.44 | 0.99 |
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Tenable Holdings Hype Timeline
Tenable Holdings is at this time traded for 21.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Tenable is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.99%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Tenable Holdings is about 940.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.13. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 999.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 780.47 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tenable Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Tenable Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tenable Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tenable Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Tenable Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tenable Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DOCN | DigitalOcean Holdings | (0.41) | 10 per month | 2.50 | 0.15 | 8.25 | (5.17) | 24.83 | |
| WRD | WeRide American Depositary | 0.04 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.19 | (6.66) | 24.73 | |
| RELY | Remitly Global | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.68 | (3.82) | 26.73 | |
| SPSC | SPS Commerce | (0.75) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.21 | (3.12) | 9.94 | |
| VRNS | Varonis Systems | (0.77) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.86 | (6.17) | 17.21 | |
| CLBT | Cellebrite DI | (0.26) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.91 | (4.33) | 25.88 | |
| GBTG | Global Business Travel | 0.33 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.82 | (6.32) | 15.25 | |
| BL | Blackline | (1.00) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.73 | (5.51) | 12.75 | |
| VERX | Vertex | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.04 | (4.81) | 21.09 | |
| PTRN | Pattern Group Series | 0.38 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.93 | (10.08) | 25.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tenable Holdings
For every potential investor in Tenable, whether a beginner or expert, Tenable Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tenable Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tenable. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tenable Holdings' price trends.Tenable Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tenable Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tenable Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tenable Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tenable Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tenable Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tenable Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tenable Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tenable Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 416171.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8596 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.71 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.88 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.26 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.47 |
Tenable Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tenable Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tenable Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tenable stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.77 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tenable Holdings
The number of cover stories for Tenable Holdings depends on current market conditions and Tenable Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tenable Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tenable Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tenable Holdings Short Properties
Tenable Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Tenable Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tenable Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tenable Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tenable Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 402.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tenable Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Tenable Stock refer to our How to Trade Tenable Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tenable Holdings. If investors know Tenable will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Tenable Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.30) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.105 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Tenable Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Tenable's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Tenable Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Tenable Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tenable Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tenable Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Tenable Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.