Truist Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TFC Stock | USD 49.57 0.73 1.45% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Truist Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 50.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.92. Truist Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Truist Financial stock prices and determine the direction of Truist Financial Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Truist Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Truist Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.108 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.039 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.464 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0845 | Wall Street Target Price 55.305 |
Using Truist Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Truist Financial Corp from the perspective of Truist Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Truist Financial using Truist Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Truist using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Truist Financial's stock price.
Truist Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Truist Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Truist. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Truist Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 43.9585 | Short Percent 0.0243 | Short Ratio 4.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 32 M | 50 Day MA 48.2422 |
Truist Financial Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Truist Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Truist. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Truist can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Truist Financial Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Truist Financial Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Truist Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Truist Financial Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Truist Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Truist Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Truist Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Truist Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 50.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.92. Truist Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 49.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Truist Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Truist contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Truist Financial Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Truist Financial trading at USD 49.57, that is roughly USD 0.0118 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Truist Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Truist Financial Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Truist Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Truist Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Truist Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Truist Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Truist Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Truist Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Truist Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Truist. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Truist Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Truist price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Truist using various technical indicators. When you analyze Truist charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Truist Financial Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Truist Financial's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1989-09-30 | Previous Quarter 36.9 B | Current Value 36.4 B | Quarterly Volatility 11.7 B |
Truist Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Truist Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 50.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Truist Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Truist Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Truist Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Truist Financial | Truist Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Truist Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Truist Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Truist Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.06 and 51.13, respectively. We have considered Truist Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Truist Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Truist Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.483 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3858 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0081 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.9184 |
Predictive Modules for Truist Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Truist Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Truist Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Truist Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Truist Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Truist Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Truist Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Truist Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Truist Financial's historical news coverage. Truist Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.56 and 50.58, respectively. We have considered Truist Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Truist Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Truist Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Truist Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Truist Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Truist Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Truist Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.03 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 17 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 17 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
49.57 | 49.57 | 0.00 |
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Truist Financial Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January Truist Financial Corp is traded for 49.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Truist is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 128.75%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Truist Financial is about 4806.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.57. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.05. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Truist Financial Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.23. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 4th of August 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 17 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Truist Financial to cross-verify your projections.Truist Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Truist Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Truist Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Truist Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Truist Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USB | US Bancorp | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.82 | 0.16 | 2.52 | (1.35) | 6.01 | |
| PNC | PNC Financial Services | 1.02 | 10 per month | 0.60 | 0.18 | 2.38 | (1.53) | 5.33 | |
| KEY | KeyCorp | 0.40 | 22 per month | 0.79 | 0.19 | 2.76 | (1.44) | 5.63 | |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | (0.80) | 10 per month | 1.17 | 0.09 | 2.77 | (1.91) | 6.89 | |
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | 1.27 | 7 per month | 0.94 | 0.16 | 2.74 | (1.52) | 9.19 | |
| CFG | Citizens Financial Group | 0.40 | 24 per month | 0.85 | 0.18 | 2.80 | (1.80) | 6.81 | |
| CMA | Comerica Incorporated | (2.09) | 9 per month | 0.89 | 0.18 | 2.60 | (1.37) | 9.13 |
Other Forecasting Options for Truist Financial
For every potential investor in Truist, whether a beginner or expert, Truist Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Truist Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Truist. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Truist Financial's price trends.Truist Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Truist Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Truist Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Truist Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Truist Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Truist Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Truist Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Truist Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Truist Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 323439.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.56) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 50.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 49.85 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.79) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.73) |
Truist Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Truist Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Truist Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting truist stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7923 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6659 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8011 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4434 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Truist Financial
The number of cover stories for Truist Financial depends on current market conditions and Truist Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Truist Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Truist Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Truist Financial Short Properties
Truist Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Truist Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Truist Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Truist Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Truist Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 45.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Truist Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Truist Financial. If investors know Truist will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Truist Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.108 | Earnings Share 3.82 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Truist Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Truist that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Truist Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Truist Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Truist Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Truist Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Truist Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Truist Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Truist Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.