Treasure Global Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

TGL Stock  USD 0.42  0.09  27.27%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Treasure Global on the next trading day is expected to be 0.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.38. Treasure Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Treasure Global's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Treasure Global's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Treasure Global fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Treasure Global's Inventory Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is expected to rise to 401.98 this year, although the value of Payables Turnover will most likely fall to 739.42. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 901.6 K this year, although the value of Net Loss will most likely fall to (11.1 M).
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Treasure Global is based on an artificially constructed time series of Treasure Global daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Treasure Global 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Treasure Global on the next trading day is expected to be 0.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Treasure Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Treasure Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Treasure Global Stock Forecast Pattern

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Treasure Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Treasure Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Treasure Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 12.54, respectively. We have considered Treasure Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.42
0.34
Expected Value
12.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Treasure Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Treasure Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.0509
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0269
MADMean absolute deviation0.1392
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1942
SAESum of the absolute errors7.38
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Treasure Global 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Treasure Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Treasure Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3012.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3212.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Treasure Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Treasure Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Treasure Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Treasure Global.

Other Forecasting Options for Treasure Global

For every potential investor in Treasure, whether a beginner or expert, Treasure Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Treasure Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Treasure. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Treasure Global's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Treasure Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Treasure Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Treasure Global's current price.

Treasure Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Treasure Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Treasure Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Treasure Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Treasure Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Treasure Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Treasure Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Treasure Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting treasure stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Treasure Global is a strong investment it is important to analyze Treasure Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Treasure Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Treasure Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Treasure Global to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Treasure Stock please use our How to buy in Treasure Stock guide.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Treasure Global. If investors know Treasure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Treasure Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.19)
Revenue Per Share
25.699
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.98)
Return On Assets
(0.71)
Return On Equity
(4.05)
The market value of Treasure Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Treasure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Treasure Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Treasure Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Treasure Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Treasure Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Treasure Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Treasure Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Treasure Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.