TH International Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| THCH Stock | USD 2.29 0.15 6.15% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TH International Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.82. THCH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TH International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 9th of January 2026, the relative strength indicator of TH International's share price is approaching 45. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TH International, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (5.41) | EPS Estimate Next Year (4.07) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
Using TH International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TH International Limited from the perspective of TH International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TH International using TH International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards THCH using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TH International's stock price.
TH International Implied Volatility | 2.46 |
TH International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TH International Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TH International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TH International stock will not fluctuate a lot when TH International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TH International Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.82. TH International after-hype prediction price | USD 2.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TH International to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 THCH Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TH International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TH International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TH International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TH International's open interest, investors have to compare it to TH International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TH International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in THCH. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
TH International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine THCH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for THCH using various technical indicators. When you analyze THCH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TH International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TH International Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict THCH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TH International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TH International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TH International | TH International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TH International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TH International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TH International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.59, respectively. We have considered TH International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TH International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TH International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.2479 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.004 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0637 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0257 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.82 |
Predictive Modules for TH International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TH International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TH International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for TH International
For every potential investor in THCH, whether a beginner or expert, TH International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. THCH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in THCH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TH International's price trends.TH International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TH International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TH International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TH International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TH International Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TH International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TH International's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TH International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TH International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TH International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TH International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TH International Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.29 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.29 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.56 |
TH International Risk Indicators
The analysis of TH International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TH International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thch stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.18 | |||
| Variance | 10.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether TH International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TH International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Th International Limited Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Th International Limited Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TH International to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TH International. If investors know THCH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TH International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.52) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of TH International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of THCH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TH International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TH International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TH International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TH International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TH International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TH International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TH International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.