Tel Instrument OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

TIKK Stock  USD 2.50  0.50  25.00%   
Tel OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of Tel Instrument's share price is at 54. This usually implies that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tel Instrument, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Tel Instrument Elect stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Tel Instrument shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Tel Instrument's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Tel Instrument and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Tel Instrument's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tel Instrument Electronics Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Tel Instrument hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tel Instrument Electronics Corp from the perspective of Tel Instrument response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tel Instrument Electronics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.38.

Tel Instrument after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tel Instrument to cross-verify your projections.

Tel Instrument Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Tel Instrument is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Tel Instrument Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tel Instrument Electronics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tel OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tel Instrument's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tel Instrument OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Tel Instrument  Tel Instrument Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Tel Instrument Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tel Instrument's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tel Instrument's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 16.56, respectively. We have considered Tel Instrument's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.50
2.50
Expected Value
16.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tel Instrument otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tel Instrument otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.8046
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0343
MADMean absolute deviation0.1081
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1052
SAESum of the absolute errors6.375
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Tel Instrument Electronics Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Tel Instrument. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Tel Instrument

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tel Instrument Elect. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.5116.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.8316.89
Details

Tel Instrument After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tel Instrument at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tel Instrument or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Tel Instrument, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tel Instrument Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tel Instrument's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tel Instrument's historical news coverage. Tel Instrument's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 16.57, respectively. We have considered Tel Instrument's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.50
2.51
After-hype Price
16.57
Upside
Tel Instrument is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tel Instrument Elect is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tel Instrument OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Tel Instrument is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tel Instrument backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tel Instrument, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.00 
14.06
  0.01 
  0.01 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.50
2.51
0.40 
165,412  
Notes

Tel Instrument Hype Timeline

Tel Instrument Elect is at this time traded for 2.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Tel is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.0%. The volatility of related hype on Tel Instrument is about 244521.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.49. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.93 M. Net Income was 1.31 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.77 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tel Instrument to cross-verify your projections.

Tel Instrument Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tel Instrument's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tel Instrument's future price movements. Getting to know how Tel Instrument's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tel Instrument may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ETCCEnvironmmtl Tectonic 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.51 (5.22) 16.00 
ALXXFAvante Logixx 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  0.00  0.00  48.89 
LDDFFLiberty Defense Holdings 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.13) 9.09 (10.00) 41.17 
FSCRFederal Screw Works 0.01 6 per month 1.83 (0.01) 3.33 (4.64) 18.83 
APGIAmerican Pwr Group 0.01 3 per month 0.00 (0.07) 16.67 (14.29) 45.00 
QUTIFQuestor Technology 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.00  0.00  72.35 
ITGMFBiomedico Hadarim 0.01 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DOCKFBeyond Medical Technologies(0.10)8 per month 18.83  0.13  93.33 (54.55) 381.88 
CRWECrown Equity Holdings 0.01 5 per month 0.00 (0) 0.00  0.00  21.95 
PRBCFPrecise Biometrics AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Tel Instrument

For every potential investor in Tel, whether a beginner or expert, Tel Instrument's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tel OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tel Instrument's price trends.

Tel Instrument Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tel Instrument otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tel Instrument could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tel Instrument by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tel Instrument Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tel Instrument otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tel Instrument shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tel Instrument otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tel Instrument Electronics Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tel Instrument Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tel Instrument's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tel Instrument's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tel otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Tel Instrument

The number of cover stories for Tel Instrument depends on current market conditions and Tel Instrument's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tel Instrument is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tel Instrument's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Tel OTC Stock

Tel Instrument financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tel OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tel with respect to the benefits of owning Tel Instrument security.