Tel-Instrument Electronics OTC Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| TIKK Stock | USD 2.50 0.50 25.00% |
Tel-Instrument OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of Tel-Instrument Electronics' share price is at 54. This usually implies that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tel-Instrument Electronics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tel-Instrument Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tel Instrument Electronics Corp from the perspective of Tel-Instrument Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tel Instrument Electronics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.64. Tel-Instrument Electronics after-hype prediction price | USD 2.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tel-Instrument |
Tel-Instrument Electronics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tel-Instrument price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tel-Instrument using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tel-Instrument charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tel-Instrument Electronics Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tel Instrument Electronics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tel-Instrument OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tel-Instrument Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tel-Instrument Electronics OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tel-Instrument Electronics | Tel-Instrument Electronics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tel-Instrument Electronics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tel-Instrument Electronics' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tel-Instrument Electronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 16.43, respectively. We have considered Tel-Instrument Electronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tel-Instrument Electronics otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tel-Instrument Electronics otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0272 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0786 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0837 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.6382 |
Predictive Modules for Tel-Instrument Electronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tel-Instrument Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tel-Instrument Electronics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tel-Instrument Electronics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tel-Instrument Electronics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Tel-Instrument Electronics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tel-Instrument Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tel-Instrument Electronics' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tel-Instrument Electronics' historical news coverage. Tel-Instrument Electronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 16.07, respectively. We have considered Tel-Instrument Electronics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tel-Instrument Electronics is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tel-Instrument Electronics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tel-Instrument Electronics OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Tel-Instrument Electronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tel-Instrument Electronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tel-Instrument Electronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.98 | 13.94 | 3.63 | 1.07 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.50 | 2.13 | 14.85 |
|
Tel-Instrument Electronics Hype Timeline
Tel-Instrument Electronics is at this time traded for 2.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.63, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.07. Tel-Instrument is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -14.85%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.98%. The volatility of related hype on Tel-Instrument Electronics is about 1271.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.43. About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tel-Instrument Electronics to cross-verify your projections.Tel-Instrument Electronics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tel-Instrument Electronics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tel-Instrument Electronics' future price movements. Getting to know how Tel-Instrument Electronics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tel-Instrument Electronics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ETCC | Environmmtl Tectonic | (1.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.51 | (5.22) | 16.00 | |
| ALXXF | Avante Logixx | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.89 | |
| LDDFF | Liberty Defense Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 9.09 | (10.00) | 41.17 | |
| FSCR | Federal Screw Works | (9.55) | 3 per month | 1.81 | (0.01) | 3.33 | (4.64) | 18.83 | |
| APGI | American Pwr Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 16.67 | (14.29) | 45.00 | |
| QUTIF | Questor Technology | (0.30) | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.35 | |
| ITGMF | Biomedico Hadarim | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DOCKF | Beyond Medical Technologies | (0.10) | 8 per month | 18.83 | 0.13 | 93.33 | (54.55) | 381.88 | |
| CRWE | Crown Equity Holdings | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.95 | |
| PRBCF | Precise Biometrics AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tel-Instrument Electronics
For every potential investor in Tel-Instrument, whether a beginner or expert, Tel-Instrument Electronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tel-Instrument OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tel-Instrument. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tel-Instrument Electronics' price trends.Tel-Instrument Electronics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tel-Instrument Electronics otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tel-Instrument Electronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tel-Instrument Electronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tel-Instrument Electronics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tel-Instrument Electronics otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tel-Instrument Electronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tel-Instrument Electronics otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tel Instrument Electronics Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.25 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.25 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.5 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.62 |
Tel-Instrument Electronics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tel-Instrument Electronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tel-Instrument Electronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tel-instrument otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.39 | |||
| Variance | 179.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tel-Instrument Electronics
The number of cover stories for Tel-Instrument Electronics depends on current market conditions and Tel-Instrument Electronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tel-Instrument Electronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tel-Instrument Electronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Tel-Instrument OTC Stock
Tel-Instrument Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tel-Instrument OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tel-Instrument with respect to the benefits of owning Tel-Instrument Electronics security.