Talon Capital Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| TLNC Stock | 10.11 0.03 0.30% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Talon Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.90. Talon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Talon Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Talon Capital Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Talon Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Talon Capital Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Talon Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Talon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Talon Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Talon Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
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Talon Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Talon Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Talon Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.91 and 10.30, respectively. We have considered Talon Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Talon Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Talon Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0043 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0165 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0016 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.9049 |
Predictive Modules for Talon Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Talon Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Talon Capital
For every potential investor in Talon, whether a beginner or expert, Talon Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Talon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Talon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Talon Capital's price trends.Talon Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Talon Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Talon Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Talon Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Talon Capital Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Talon Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Talon Capital's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Talon Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Talon Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Talon Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Talon Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Talon Capital Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Talon Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Talon Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Talon Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting talon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1473 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1965 | |||
| Variance | 0.0386 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0667 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.01) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Talon Capital Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Talon Capital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Talon Capital Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Talon Capital Corp Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Talon Capital to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Diversified Capital Markets space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Talon Capital. If investors know Talon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Talon Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Talon Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Talon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Talon Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Talon Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Talon Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Talon Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Talon Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Talon Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Talon Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.