Spin Master Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| TOY Stock | CAD 18.92 0.31 1.67% |
Spin Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Spin Master's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Spin Master's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Spin Master fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Spin Master's share price is approaching 44. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Spin Master, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.42 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.4076 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.5467 | Wall Street Target Price 27.0542 |
Using Spin Master hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spin Master Corp from the perspective of Spin Master response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Spin Master Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 19.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.96. Spin Master after-hype prediction price | CAD 18.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Spin |
Spin Master Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Spin Master Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Spin Master Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 19.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Spin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Spin Master's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Spin Master Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Spin Master | Spin Master Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Spin Master Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Spin Master's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Spin Master's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.51 and 20.87, respectively. We have considered Spin Master's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Spin Master stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Spin Master stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6236 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4348 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0221 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.9598 |
Predictive Modules for Spin Master
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spin Master Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Spin Master After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spin Master at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spin Master or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spin Master, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spin Master Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spin Master's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spin Master's historical news coverage. Spin Master's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.23 and 20.59, respectively. We have considered Spin Master's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spin Master is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spin Master Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spin Master Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spin Master is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spin Master backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spin Master, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.68 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.92 | 18.91 | 0.05 |
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Spin Master Hype Timeline
Spin Master Corp is at this time traded for 18.92on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Spin is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Spin Master is about 56000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.92. About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.98. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Spin Master Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of December 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 2nd of July 1990. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spin Master to cross-verify your projections.Spin Master Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spin Master's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spin Master's future price movements. Getting to know how Spin Master's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spin Master may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RCH | Richelieu Hardware | 0.56 | 9 per month | 1.00 | 0.06 | 2.53 | (1.56) | 4.98 | |
| LNF | Leons Furniture Limited | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.07 | (2.12) | 9.71 | |
| GOOS | Canada Goose Holdings | (0.24) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.38 | (4.83) | 16.90 | |
| PET | Pet Valu Holdings | (0.24) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.67 | (2.56) | 18.72 | |
| WPK | Winpak | 0.30 | 4 per month | 1.05 | (0.02) | 1.79 | (1.42) | 5.24 | |
| NFI | NFI Group | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.11 | 3.74 | (2.02) | 16.03 | |
| TWC | TWC Enterprises | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.79 | 0.03 | 2.15 | (1.88) | 7.71 | |
| ICE | Canlan Ice Sports | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.68 | (4.47) | 17.47 | |
| AW | A W FOOD | 0.02 | 7 per month | 1.09 | (0.04) | 1.99 | (1.89) | 6.49 | |
| MTY | MTY Food Group | (0.37) | 5 per month | 1.47 | 0.14 | 2.57 | (1.59) | 21.01 |
Other Forecasting Options for Spin Master
For every potential investor in Spin, whether a beginner or expert, Spin Master's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Spin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Spin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Spin Master's price trends.Spin Master Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Spin Master stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Spin Master could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spin Master by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Spin Master Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Spin Master stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Spin Master shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Spin Master stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Spin Master Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Spin Master Risk Indicators
The analysis of Spin Master's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Spin Master's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.45 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Spin Master
The number of cover stories for Spin Master depends on current market conditions and Spin Master's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spin Master is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spin Master's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Spin Master Short Properties
Spin Master's future price predictability will typically decrease when Spin Master's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spin Master Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spin Master's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spin Master's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 233.5 M |
Other Information on Investing in Spin Stock
Spin Master financial ratios help investors to determine whether Spin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Spin with respect to the benefits of owning Spin Master security.