Tutor Perini Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| TPC Stock | USD 76.01 0.78 1.02% |
Tutor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tutor Perini stock prices and determine the direction of Tutor Perini's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tutor Perini's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Tutor Perini's share price is at 59. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tutor Perini, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 23.415 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9048 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.095 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.009 | Wall Street Target Price 91.5 |
Using Tutor Perini hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tutor Perini from the perspective of Tutor Perini response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tutor Perini using Tutor Perini's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tutor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tutor Perini's stock price.
Tutor Perini Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Tutor Perini's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Tutor. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Tutor Perini stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 53.6292 | Short Percent 0.0599 | Short Ratio 4.83 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 68.147 |
Tutor Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tutor Perini on the next trading day is expected to be 76.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.36.Tutor Perini Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Tutor Perini's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tutor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tutor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tutor Perini. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tutor Perini's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tutor Perini.
Tutor Perini Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
Tutor Perini's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tutor Perini stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tutor Perini's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tutor Perini stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tutor Perini's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tutor Perini on the next trading day is expected to be 76.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.36. Tutor Perini after-hype prediction price | USD 76.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tutor Perini to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tutor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tutor Perini will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Tutor Perini trading at USD 76.01, that is roughly USD 0.0299 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tutor Perini's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tutor Perini options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Tutor Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tutor Perini's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tutor Perini's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tutor Perini stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tutor Perini's open interest, investors have to compare it to Tutor Perini's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tutor Perini is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tutor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Tutor Perini Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tutor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tutor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tutor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tutor Perini Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tutor Perini on the next trading day is expected to be 76.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 2.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tutor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tutor Perini's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tutor Perini Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tutor Perini | Tutor Perini Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tutor Perini Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tutor Perini's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tutor Perini's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 74.07 and 78.84, respectively. We have considered Tutor Perini's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tutor Perini stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tutor Perini stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1346 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2773 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.019 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 75.3583 |
Predictive Modules for Tutor Perini
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tutor Perini. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tutor Perini After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tutor Perini at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tutor Perini or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tutor Perini, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tutor Perini Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tutor Perini's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tutor Perini's historical news coverage. Tutor Perini's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.64 and 78.38, respectively. We have considered Tutor Perini's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tutor Perini is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tutor Perini is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tutor Perini Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tutor Perini is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tutor Perini backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tutor Perini, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.38 | 0.30 | 0.02 | 2 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
76.01 | 76.01 | 0.00 |
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Tutor Perini Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Tutor Perini is traded for 76.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Tutor is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 158.67%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tutor Perini is about 1966.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.03. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Tutor Perini was at this time reported as 22.59. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. Tutor Perini recorded a loss per share of 0.55. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2025. The firm had 1:10 split on the May 21, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tutor Perini to cross-verify your projections.Tutor Perini Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tutor Perini's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tutor Perini's future price movements. Getting to know how Tutor Perini's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tutor Perini may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MYRG | MYR Group | (0.21) | 9 per month | 2.51 | 0.07 | 4.75 | (5.30) | 12.05 | |
| FLY | Firefly Aerospace Common | 1.66 | 9 per month | 6.54 | 0.04 | 12.30 | (12.87) | 36.50 | |
| AGX | Argan Inc | 0.21 | 17 per month | 3.86 | 0.08 | 7.40 | (7.35) | 22.90 | |
| BRC | Brady | 0.71 | 9 per month | 1.01 | 0.07 | 2.35 | (1.89) | 5.12 | |
| HAYW | Hayward Holdings | (0.10) | 10 per month | 1.12 | 0.02 | 2.91 | (2.18) | 14.48 | |
| CAAP | Corporacion America Airports | 0.23 | 9 per month | 0.71 | 0.24 | 4.77 | (2.21) | 19.75 | |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | (0.59) | 12 per month | 0.85 | 0.11 | 2.34 | (1.74) | 5.83 | |
| VSEC | VSE Corporation | (0.29) | 9 per month | 1.79 | 0.11 | 4.51 | (3.15) | 12.04 | |
| EAF | GrafTech International | 0.26 | 7 per month | 5.40 | (0.02) | 7.10 | (6.92) | 22.15 | |
| EXPO | Exponent | (0.67) | 8 per month | 1.21 | 0.03 | 2.96 | (1.92) | 9.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tutor Perini
For every potential investor in Tutor, whether a beginner or expert, Tutor Perini's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tutor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tutor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tutor Perini's price trends.Tutor Perini Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tutor Perini stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tutor Perini could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tutor Perini by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tutor Perini Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tutor Perini stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tutor Perini shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tutor Perini stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tutor Perini entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Tutor Perini Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tutor Perini's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tutor Perini's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tutor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Variance | 5.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tutor Perini
The number of cover stories for Tutor Perini depends on current market conditions and Tutor Perini's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tutor Perini is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tutor Perini's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tutor Perini Short Properties
Tutor Perini's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tutor Perini's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tutor Perini often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tutor Perini's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tutor Perini's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 455.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tutor Perini to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Tutor Stock refer to our How to Trade Tutor Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tutor Perini. If investors know Tutor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tutor Perini listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 23.415 | Earnings Share (0.55) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.307 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Tutor Perini is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tutor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tutor Perini's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tutor Perini's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tutor Perini's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tutor Perini's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tutor Perini's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tutor Perini is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tutor Perini's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.