Tronox Holdings Stock Forward View
| TROX Stock | USD 6.91 0.54 7.25% |
Tronox Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Tronox Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.482 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.58) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.57) | Wall Street Target Price 6.1071 |
Using Tronox Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tronox Holdings PLC from the perspective of Tronox Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tronox Holdings using Tronox Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tronox using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tronox Holdings' stock price.
Tronox Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Tronox Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Tronox Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Tronox Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 4.6964 | Short Percent 0.1699 | Short Ratio 4.33 | Shares Short Prior Month 18.2 M | 50 Day MA 4.9606 |
Tronox Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tronox Holdings PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 6.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.97.Tronox Holdings PLC Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Tronox Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tronox. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tronox can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tronox Holdings PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tronox Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tronox Holdings.
Tronox Holdings Implied Volatility | 1.58 |
Tronox Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tronox Holdings PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tronox Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tronox Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tronox Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tronox Holdings PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 6.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.97. Tronox Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 6.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tronox Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tronox contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tronox Holdings PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0988% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Tronox Holdings trading at USD 6.91, that is roughly USD 0.006824 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tronox Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tronox Holdings PLC options at the current volatility level of 1.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Tronox Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tronox Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tronox Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tronox Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tronox Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Tronox Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tronox Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tronox. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Tronox Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tronox price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tronox using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tronox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Tronox Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2004-12-31 | Previous Quarter 132 M | Current Value 185 M | Quarterly Volatility 460.8 M |
Tronox Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tronox Holdings PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 6.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tronox Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tronox Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tronox Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tronox Holdings | Tronox Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Tronox Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tronox Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tronox Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.88 and 12.36, respectively. We have considered Tronox Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tronox Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tronox Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.672 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2454 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0549 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.9718 |
Predictive Modules for Tronox Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tronox Holdings PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tronox Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tronox Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tronox Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tronox Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tronox Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tronox Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tronox Holdings' historical news coverage. Tronox Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.17 and 12.65, respectively. We have considered Tronox Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tronox Holdings is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tronox Holdings PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tronox Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tronox Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tronox Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tronox Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.34 | 5.74 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 13 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.91 | 6.91 | 0.00 |
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Tronox Holdings Hype Timeline
Tronox Holdings PLC is at this time traded for 6.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Tronox is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tronox Holdings is about 47833.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.93. About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tronox Holdings PLC recorded a loss per share of 1.9. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. The firm had 5:1 split on the 26th of July 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tronox Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Tronox Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tronox Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tronox Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Tronox Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tronox Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LXU | Lsb Industries | 0.17 | 8 per month | 2.38 | 0.05 | 4.74 | (4.33) | 13.39 | |
| KRO | Kronos Worldwide | 0.43 | 6 per month | 2.79 | 0.08 | 6.07 | (5.07) | 12.10 | |
| GEVO | Gevo Inc | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.22 | (5.80) | 16.09 | |
| RYAM | Rayonier Advanced Materials | 0.11 | 3 per month | 2.91 | 0.06 | 6.38 | (5.15) | 28.05 | |
| ASIX | AdvanSix | (0.71) | 4 per month | 3.74 | (0.01) | 5.26 | (4.88) | 16.84 | |
| WLKP | Westlake Chemical Partners | 0.36 | 6 per month | 0.85 | 0.15 | 2.19 | (1.42) | 8.30 | |
| MATV | Mativ Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.11 | 0.09 | 4.15 | (3.36) | 10.14 | |
| NMG | Nouveau Monde Graphite | (0.11) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.39 | (12.36) | 29.51 | |
| VHI | Valhi Inc | (0.03) | 8 per month | 3.37 | 0.03 | 8.56 | (5.97) | 16.93 | |
| NFGC | New Found Gold | (0.15) | 9 per month | 4.91 | 0.08 | 6.76 | (8.95) | 30.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tronox Holdings
For every potential investor in Tronox, whether a beginner or expert, Tronox Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tronox Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tronox. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tronox Holdings' price trends.Tronox Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tronox Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tronox Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tronox Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tronox Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tronox Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tronox Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tronox Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tronox Holdings PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 304763.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.17) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.09 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.45) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.54) |
Tronox Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tronox Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tronox Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tronox stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.68 | |||
| Variance | 32.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.21 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tronox Holdings
The number of cover stories for Tronox Holdings depends on current market conditions and Tronox Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tronox Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tronox Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tronox Holdings Short Properties
Tronox Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Tronox Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tronox Holdings PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tronox Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tronox Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 157.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 151 M |
Additional Tools for Tronox Stock Analysis
When running Tronox Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Tronox Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tronox Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Tronox Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tronox Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tronox Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tronox Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.