TC Energy Stock Forward View

TRP Stock  USD 59.40  0.02  0.03%   
TRP Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although TC Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of TC Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of TC Energy fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of TC Energy's stock price is slightly above 68. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling TRP, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 68

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TC Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TC Energy Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting TC Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.58)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.9987
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.4521
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.7648
Wall Street Target Price
51.3703
Using TC Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TC Energy Corp from the perspective of TC Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TC Energy using TC Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TRP using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TC Energy's stock price.

TC Energy Short Interest

An investor who is long TC Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about TC Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge TC Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
51.5956
Short Percent
0.013
Short Ratio
10.05
Shares Short Prior Month
26.9 M
50 Day MA
54.9536

TRP Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TC Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 62.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.80.

TC Energy Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to TC Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TRP. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TRP can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TC Energy Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TC Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TC Energy.

TC Energy Implied Volatility

    
  0.3  
TC Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TC Energy Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TC Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TC Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when TC Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TC Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 62.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.80.

TC Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 59.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TC Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TRP contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TC Energy Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With TC Energy trading at USD 59.4, that is roughly USD 0.0111 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating TC Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring TC Energy Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 TRP Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TC Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TC Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TC Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TC Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to TC Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TC Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TRP. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

TC Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TRP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TRP using various technical indicators. When you analyze TRP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

TC Energy Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the TC Energy's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-03-31
Previous Quarter
1.4 B
Current Value
1.8 B
Quarterly Volatility
911.6 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for TC Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of TC Energy Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

TC Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TC Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 62.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TRP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TC Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TC Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TC Energy  TC Energy Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

TC Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TC Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TC Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.97 and 63.36, respectively. We have considered TC Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
59.40
62.17
Expected Value
63.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TC Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TC Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.57
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.636
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0116
SAESum of the absolute errors38.7976
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of TC Energy Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict TC Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for TC Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TC Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.8559.0660.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.0759.2860.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
51.7655.8359.89
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.7551.3757.02
Details

TC Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TC Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TC Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TC Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TC Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TC Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TC Energy's historical news coverage. TC Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.85 and 60.27, respectively. We have considered TC Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
59.40
59.06
After-hype Price
60.27
Upside
TC Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TC Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

TC Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TC Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TC Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TC Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
1.20
  0.33 
  0.09 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
59.40
59.06
0.57 
105.26  
Notes

TC Energy Hype Timeline

On the 4th of February TC Energy Corp is traded for 59.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. TRP is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 59.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 105.26%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on TC Energy is about 379.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.49. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of TC Energy was at this time reported as 17.54. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. TC Energy Corp had 2:1 split on the 13th of February 1984. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TC Energy to cross-verify your projections.

TC Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TC Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TC Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how TC Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TC Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MPLXMPLX LP(0.35)8 per month 0.86  0.13  1.73 (1.73) 4.74 
KMIKinder Morgan(0.40)8 per month 1.04  0.17  2.24 (1.71) 6.33 
ETEnergy Transfer LP(0.17)8 per month 0.72  0.10  2.22 (1.43) 4.29 
LNGCheniere Energy(0.90)9 per month 1.11 (0.04) 1.95 (1.78) 4.89 
EEni SpA ADR(0.31)7 per month 1.16  0.11  2.04 (2.26) 6.47 
IMOImperial Oil 1.81 9 per month 1.79  0.10  2.97 (3.32) 8.06 
OKEONEOK Inc 2.27 9 per month 1.33  0.15  2.69 (2.34) 7.19 
BKRBaker Hughes Co(0.56)7 per month 1.74  0.13  4.04 (3.68) 8.14 
SUSuncor Energy 1.40 9 per month 0.72  0.29  2.77 (1.62) 7.59 
SLBSchlumberger NV 0.37 9 per month 1.41  0.20  4.46 (3.08) 12.49 

Other Forecasting Options for TC Energy

For every potential investor in TRP, whether a beginner or expert, TC Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TRP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TRP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TC Energy's price trends.

TC Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TC Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TC Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TC Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TC Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TC Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TC Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TC Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TC Energy Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TC Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of TC Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TC Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TC Energy

The number of cover stories for TC Energy depends on current market conditions and TC Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TC Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TC Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

TC Energy Short Properties

TC Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when TC Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TC Energy Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TC Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TC Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments801 M

Additional Tools for TRP Stock Analysis

When running TC Energy's price analysis, check to measure TC Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TC Energy is operating at the current time. Most of TC Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TC Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TC Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TC Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.