Tungray Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TRSG Stock | 1.20 0.02 1.69% |
Tungray Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tungray Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Tungray Technologies' share price is approaching 48. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tungray Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tungray Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tungray Technologies Class from the perspective of Tungray Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tungray Technologies Class on the next trading day is expected to be 1.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.53. Tungray Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 1.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tungray Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Tungray Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tungray price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tungray using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tungray charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tungray Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tungray Technologies Class on the next trading day is expected to be 1.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tungray Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tungray Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tungray Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tungray Technologies | Tungray Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tungray Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tungray Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tungray Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.11, respectively. We have considered Tungray Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tungray Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tungray Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.2867 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.025 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0206 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.5256 |
Predictive Modules for Tungray Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tungray Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tungray Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tungray Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tungray Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tungray Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tungray Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tungray Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tungray Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tungray Technologies' historical news coverage. Tungray Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.14, respectively. We have considered Tungray Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tungray Technologies is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tungray Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tungray Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tungray Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tungray Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tungray Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 3.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
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Tungray Technologies Hype Timeline
Tungray Technologies is at this time traded for 1.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tungray is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tungray Technologies is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.20. About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.04. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tungray Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tungray Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Tungray Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tungray Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tungray Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Tungray Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tungray Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTEN | Mingteng International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.41) | 11.84 | (41.93) | 104.89 | |
| MGN | Megan Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.83 | 0.02 | 13.92 | (7.51) | 28.48 | |
| RVSN | Rail Vision Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.33 | (8.57) | 24.95 | |
| LIQT | LiqTech International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.98 | (7.66) | 21.94 | |
| TOPP | Toppoint Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.22 | (10.00) | 47.33 | |
| BTOC | Armlogi Holding Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.77 | (7.41) | 20.70 | |
| GLBS | Globus Maritime | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.79 | 0.13 | 12.58 | (5.41) | 26.30 | |
| MSGY | Masonglory Limited Ordinary | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.00 | 0.25 | 24.82 | (5.70) | 72.18 | |
| BURU | Nuburu Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 7.69 | (9.52) | 35.00 | |
| XOS | Xos Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.55 | (6.10) | 12.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tungray Technologies
For every potential investor in Tungray, whether a beginner or expert, Tungray Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tungray Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tungray. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tungray Technologies' price trends.Tungray Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tungray Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tungray Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tungray Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tungray Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tungray Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tungray Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tungray Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tungray Technologies Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Tungray Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tungray Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tungray Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tungray stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.94 | |||
| Variance | 15.56 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tungray Technologies
The number of cover stories for Tungray Technologies depends on current market conditions and Tungray Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tungray Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tungray Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tungray Technologies Short Properties
Tungray Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Tungray Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tungray Technologies Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tungray Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tungray Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tungray Technologies to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tungray Technologies. If investors know Tungray will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tungray Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Tungray Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tungray that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tungray Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tungray Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tungray Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tungray Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tungray Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tungray Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tungray Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.