Taiwan Semiconductor Stock Forward View - Relative Strength Index

TSM Stock  USD 339.55  8.99  2.72%   
Taiwan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Taiwan Semiconductor's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Taiwan Semiconductor's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Taiwan Semiconductor fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Taiwan Semiconductor's share price is at 59. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Taiwan Semiconductor, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Taiwan Semiconductor's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Taiwan Semiconductor and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Taiwan Semiconductor's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Taiwan Semiconductor's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.406
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.9401
EPS Estimate Current Year
14.3094
EPS Estimate Next Year
17.9983
Wall Street Target Price
419.8135
Using Taiwan Semiconductor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing from the perspective of Taiwan Semiconductor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Taiwan Semiconductor using Taiwan Semiconductor's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Taiwan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Taiwan Semiconductor's stock price.

Taiwan Semiconductor Short Interest

An investor who is long Taiwan Semiconductor may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Taiwan Semiconductor and may potentially protect profits, hedge Taiwan Semiconductor with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
253.9464
Short Percent
0.0044
Short Ratio
1.87
Shares Short Prior Month
25.3 M
50 Day MA
306.2888

Taiwan Relative Strength Index

Taiwan Semiconductor Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Taiwan Semiconductor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Taiwan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Taiwan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Taiwan Semiconductor's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Taiwan Semiconductor.

Taiwan Semiconductor Implied Volatility

    
  0.5  
Taiwan Semiconductor's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Taiwan Semiconductor's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Taiwan Semiconductor stock will not fluctuate a lot when Taiwan Semiconductor's options are near their expiration.

Taiwan Semiconductor after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 340.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taiwan Semiconductor to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Taiwan contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Taiwan Semiconductor trading at USD 339.55, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Taiwan Semiconductor's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Taiwan Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Taiwan Semiconductor's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Taiwan Semiconductor's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Taiwan Semiconductor stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Taiwan Semiconductor's open interest, investors have to compare it to Taiwan Semiconductor's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Taiwan Semiconductor is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Taiwan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Taiwan Semiconductor Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Taiwan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Taiwan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Taiwan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has current Relative Strength Index of 59.67.
Check Taiwan Semiconductor VolatilityBacktest Taiwan SemiconductorInformation Ratio  

Taiwan Semiconductor Trading Date Momentum

On February 01 2026 Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing was traded for  339.55  at the closing time. Highest Taiwan Semiconductor's price during the trading hours was 343.74  and the lowest price during the day was  328.20 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 1st of February did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 0.07% .
Compare Taiwan Semiconductor to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Taiwan Semiconductor

For every potential investor in Taiwan, whether a beginner or expert, Taiwan Semiconductor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Taiwan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Taiwan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Taiwan Semiconductor's price trends.

Taiwan Semiconductor Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Taiwan Semiconductor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Taiwan Semiconductor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Taiwan Semiconductor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Taiwan Semiconductor Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Taiwan Semiconductor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Taiwan Semiconductor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Taiwan Semiconductor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Taiwan Semiconductor Risk Indicators

The analysis of Taiwan Semiconductor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Taiwan Semiconductor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting taiwan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Taiwan Semiconductor

The number of cover stories for Taiwan Semiconductor depends on current market conditions and Taiwan Semiconductor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Taiwan Semiconductor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Taiwan Semiconductor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Taiwan Semiconductor Short Properties

Taiwan Semiconductor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Taiwan Semiconductor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Taiwan Semiconductor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Taiwan Semiconductor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 T
When determining whether Taiwan Semiconductor is a strong investment it is important to analyze Taiwan Semiconductor's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Taiwan Semiconductor's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Taiwan Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taiwan Semiconductor to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Taiwan diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Taiwan Semiconductor. If investors know Taiwan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Taiwan Semiconductor data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.406
Earnings Share
10.63
Revenue Per Share
91.8075
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.205
Return On Assets
0.1655
Investors evaluate Taiwan Semiconductor using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Taiwan Semiconductor's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Taiwan Semiconductor's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Taiwan Semiconductor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Taiwan Semiconductor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Taiwan Semiconductor's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.