Trane Technologies Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| TT Stock | USD 394.16 7.94 2.06% |
Trane Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Trane Technologies' share price is approaching 48. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Trane Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.114 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.8586 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.0369 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.8289 | Wall Street Target Price 478.8175 |
Using Trane Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trane Technologies plc from the perspective of Trane Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Trane Technologies using Trane Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Trane using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Trane Technologies' stock price.
Trane Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Trane Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Trane Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Trane Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 412.1376 | Short Percent 0.016 | Short Ratio 2.59 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 398.1744 |
Trane Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Trane Technologies plc on the next trading day is expected to be 376.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 421.33.Trane Technologies plc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Trane Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Trane. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Trane can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Trane Technologies plc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Trane Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Trane Technologies.
Trane Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.24 |
Trane Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Trane Technologies plc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Trane Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Trane Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Trane Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Trane Technologies plc on the next trading day is expected to be 376.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 421.33. Trane Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 393.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trane Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Trane contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Trane Technologies plc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.015% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Trane Technologies trading at USD 394.16, that is roughly USD 0.0591 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Trane Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Trane Technologies plc options at the current volatility level of 0.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Trane Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Trane Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Trane Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Trane Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Trane Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Trane Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Trane Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Trane. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Trane Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trane price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trane using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trane charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Trane Technologies Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Trane Technologies plc on the next trading day is expected to be 376.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.91, mean absolute percentage error of 72.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 421.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Trane Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Trane Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Trane Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Trane Technologies | Trane Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Trane Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Trane Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Trane Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 374.62 and 377.52, respectively. We have considered Trane Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Trane Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Trane Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.3931 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.9071 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.017 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 421.3305 |
Predictive Modules for Trane Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trane Technologies plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trane Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trane Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Trane Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trane Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Trane Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Trane Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Trane Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trane Technologies' historical news coverage. Trane Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 392.14 and 395.04, respectively. We have considered Trane Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Trane Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trane Technologies plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Trane Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trane Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trane Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trane Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.45 | 0.57 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
394.16 | 393.59 | 0.14 |
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Trane Technologies Hype Timeline
As of January 26, 2026 Trane Technologies plc is listed for 394.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Trane is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 393.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 27.78%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Trane Technologies is about 1141.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 394.17. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.41. Trane Technologies plc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. The firm had 1289:1000 split on the 2nd of March 2020. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trane Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Trane Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Trane Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trane Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Trane Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trane Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 5.14 | 7 per month | 0.72 | 0.16 | 2.46 | (1.59) | 9.94 | |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | (0.01) | 1.84 | (2.00) | 15.08 | |
| ADP | Automatic Data Processing | (0.94) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.69 | (2.05) | 6.58 | |
| GD | General Dynamics | (7.08) | 8 per month | 1.17 | 0.02 | 2.00 | (2.00) | 7.72 | |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.09 | (2.24) | 6.93 | |
| MMM | 3M Company | (1.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.11 | (2.10) | 9.58 | |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | (1.99) | 6 per month | 1.60 | 0.07 | 2.36 | (2.84) | 8.01 | |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | 0.14 | 2.91 | (2.25) | 7.74 | |
| WM | Waste Management | (2.15) | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.03 | 2.06 | (1.57) | 5.20 | |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman | 9.30 | 8 per month | 1.41 | 0.05 | 2.85 | (1.69) | 9.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Trane Technologies
For every potential investor in Trane, whether a beginner or expert, Trane Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Trane Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Trane. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Trane Technologies' price trends.Trane Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Trane Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Trane Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trane Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Trane Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Trane Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Trane Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Trane Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Trane Technologies plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 59484.02 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6839 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 389.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 391.26 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 8.33 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 7.94 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.36 |
Trane Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Trane Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Trane Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trane stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.34 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Trane Technologies
The number of cover stories for Trane Technologies depends on current market conditions and Trane Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trane Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trane Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Trane Technologies Short Properties
Trane Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Trane Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trane Technologies plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trane Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trane Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 228.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Additional Tools for Trane Stock Analysis
When running Trane Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Trane Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trane Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Trane Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trane Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trane Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trane Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.