Titan America Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| TTAM Stock | 17.71 0.65 3.81% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Titan America SA on the next trading day is expected to be 17.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.14. Titan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Titan America's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Titan America's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Titan America fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Titan America's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0618 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.2298 | Wall Street Target Price 17.4286 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.315 |
Using Titan America hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Titan America SA from the perspective of Titan America response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Titan America using Titan America's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Titan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Titan America's stock price.
Titan America Implied Volatility | 1.08 |
Titan America's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Titan America SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Titan America's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Titan America stock will not fluctuate a lot when Titan America's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Titan America SA on the next trading day is expected to be 17.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.14. Titan America after-hype prediction price | USD 17.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Titan America to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Titan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Titan America SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0675% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Titan America trading at USD 17.71, that is roughly USD 0.012 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Titan America's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Titan America SA options at the current volatility level of 1.08%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Titan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Titan America's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Titan America's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Titan America stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Titan America's open interest, investors have to compare it to Titan America's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Titan America is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Titan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Titan America Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Titan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Titan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Titan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Titan America Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Titan America SA on the next trading day is expected to be 17.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Titan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Titan America's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Titan America Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Titan America | Titan America Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Titan America Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Titan America's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Titan America's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.76 and 19.86, respectively. We have considered Titan America's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Titan America stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Titan America stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0627 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.269 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.14 |
Predictive Modules for Titan America
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Titan America SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Titan America After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Titan America at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Titan America or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Titan America, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Titan America Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Titan America's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Titan America's historical news coverage. Titan America's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.63 and 19.73, respectively. We have considered Titan America's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Titan America is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Titan America SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Titan America Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Titan America is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Titan America backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Titan America, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.05 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 3 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.71 | 17.68 | 0.17 |
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Titan America Hype Timeline
Titan America SA is at this time traded for 17.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Titan is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Titan America is about 584.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.80. About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Titan America was at this time reported as 5.4. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Titan America to cross-verify your projections.Titan America Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Titan America's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Titan America's future price movements. Getting to know how Titan America's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Titan America may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TGLS | Tecnoglass | (0.11) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.42 | (5.16) | 10.25 | |
| BCC | Boise Cascad Llc | 0.08 | 8 per month | 1.69 | 0.09 | 6.20 | (3.06) | 11.47 | |
| USLM | United States Lime | 2.94 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.08 | (3.63) | 8.80 | |
| KNF | Knife River | 0.80 | 18 per month | 2.00 | 0.06 | 3.85 | (3.18) | 16.62 | |
| CENX | Century Aluminum | 2.94 | 18 per month | 3.94 | 0.15 | 6.70 | (6.55) | 27.76 | |
| MEOH | Methanex | 0.30 | 10 per month | 1.36 | 0.18 | 3.94 | (2.58) | 21.41 | |
| AVNT | Avient Corp | 0.08 | 12 per month | 1.37 | 0.10 | 3.41 | (2.45) | 8.87 | |
| HWKN | Hawkins | (3.37) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.29 | (4.40) | 10.09 | |
| USAS | Americas Silver Corp | (0.04) | 9 per month | 4.30 | 0.21 | 9.55 | (6.99) | 23.85 | |
| FSM | Fortuna Silver Mines | (0.11) | 12 per month | 2.49 | 0.13 | 4.51 | (3.97) | 14.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Titan America
For every potential investor in Titan, whether a beginner or expert, Titan America's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Titan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Titan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Titan America's price trends.Titan America Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Titan America stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Titan America could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Titan America by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Titan America Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Titan America stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Titan America shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Titan America stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Titan America SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 34125.7 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8025 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.63 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.65 |
Titan America Risk Indicators
The analysis of Titan America's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Titan America's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting titan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Variance | 4.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.66) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Titan America
The number of cover stories for Titan America depends on current market conditions and Titan America's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Titan America is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Titan America's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Titan America Short Properties
Titan America's future price predictability will typically decrease when Titan America's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Titan America SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Titan America's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Titan America's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Titan America to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Construction Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Titan America. If investors know Titan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Titan America listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.37 | Earnings Share 0.97 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.062 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Titan America SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Titan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Titan America's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Titan America's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Titan America's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Titan America's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Titan America's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Titan America is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Titan America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.