Grupo Televisa Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TV Stock  USD 2.90  0.09  3.01%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo Televisa SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 2.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.04. Grupo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Grupo Televisa's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Grupo Televisa's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Grupo Televisa and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Grupo Televisa's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grupo Televisa SAB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Grupo Televisa's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.67)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.03
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.15)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.17)
Wall Street Target Price
3.6981
Using Grupo Televisa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grupo Televisa SAB from the perspective of Grupo Televisa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Grupo Televisa using Grupo Televisa's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Grupo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Grupo Televisa's stock price.

Grupo Televisa Implied Volatility

    
  1.71  
Grupo Televisa's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Grupo Televisa SAB stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Grupo Televisa's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Grupo Televisa stock will not fluctuate a lot when Grupo Televisa's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo Televisa SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 2.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.04.

Grupo Televisa after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.89  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Televisa to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Grupo Televisa's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to climb to 4.72 in 2026, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 2.23 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 459.7 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to climb to about (9 B) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Grupo Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Grupo Televisa's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Grupo Televisa's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Grupo Televisa stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Grupo Televisa's open interest, investors have to compare it to Grupo Televisa's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Grupo Televisa is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Grupo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Grupo Televisa Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Grupo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grupo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grupo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Grupo Televisa's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1994-12-31
Previous Quarter
38.4 B
Current Value
37.9 B
Quarterly Volatility
17.9 B
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Grupo Televisa is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Grupo Televisa SAB value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Grupo Televisa Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo Televisa SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 2.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Televisa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Grupo Televisa Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Grupo TelevisaGrupo Televisa Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Grupo Televisa Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Grupo Televisa's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grupo Televisa's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 5.38, respectively. We have considered Grupo Televisa's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.90
2.69
Expected Value
5.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Televisa stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Televisa stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2604
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0813
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.029
SAESum of the absolute errors5.0386
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Grupo Televisa SAB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Grupo Televisa. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Grupo Televisa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Televisa SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grupo Televisa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.202.895.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.583.275.96
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.373.704.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.69-0.220.26
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Grupo Televisa

For every potential investor in Grupo, whether a beginner or expert, Grupo Televisa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grupo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grupo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grupo Televisa's price trends.

Grupo Televisa Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo Televisa stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo Televisa could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Televisa by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Grupo Televisa SAB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Grupo Televisa's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Grupo Televisa's current price.

Grupo Televisa Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo Televisa stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo Televisa shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo Televisa stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo Televisa SAB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Grupo Televisa Risk Indicators

The analysis of Grupo Televisa's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grupo Televisa's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grupo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Grupo Stock Analysis

When running Grupo Televisa's price analysis, check to measure Grupo Televisa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grupo Televisa is operating at the current time. Most of Grupo Televisa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grupo Televisa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grupo Televisa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grupo Televisa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.