Tidewater Midstream Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| TWM Stock | CAD 6.45 0.56 9.51% |
Tidewater Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Tidewater Midstream's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Tidewater Midstream's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Tidewater Midstream fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Tidewater Midstream's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.70) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1 | Wall Street Target Price 6.4 |
Using Tidewater Midstream hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tidewater Midstream and from the perspective of Tidewater Midstream response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tidewater Midstream and on the next trading day is expected to be 6.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.36. Tidewater Midstream after-hype prediction price | CAD 9.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tidewater |
Tidewater Midstream Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tidewater price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tidewater using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tidewater charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tidewater Midstream Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tidewater Midstream and on the next trading day is expected to be 6.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tidewater Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tidewater Midstream's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tidewater Midstream Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tidewater Midstream | Tidewater Midstream Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Tidewater Midstream Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tidewater Midstream's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tidewater Midstream's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.44 and 9.54, respectively. We have considered Tidewater Midstream's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tidewater Midstream stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tidewater Midstream stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0272 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1227 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0229 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.365 |
Predictive Modules for Tidewater Midstream
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tidewater Midstream and. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tidewater Midstream After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tidewater Midstream at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tidewater Midstream or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tidewater Midstream, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tidewater Midstream Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tidewater Midstream's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tidewater Midstream's historical news coverage. Tidewater Midstream's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.81 and 12.93, respectively. We have considered Tidewater Midstream's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tidewater Midstream is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tidewater Midstream and is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tidewater Midstream Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tidewater Midstream is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tidewater Midstream backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tidewater Midstream, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 3.05 | 4.18 | 0.25 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.45 | 9.88 | 53.26 |
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Tidewater Midstream Hype Timeline
Tidewater Midstream and is at this time traded for 6.45on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 4.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.25. Tidewater is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.885 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 21.15%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 53.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Tidewater Midstream is about 360.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.70. Tidewater Midstream and has accumulated 572.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.58, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Tidewater Midstream and has a current ratio of 1.15, suggesting that it may have difficulties to pay its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tidewater Midstream until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tidewater Midstream's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tidewater Midstream and sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tidewater to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tidewater Midstream's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tidewater Midstream to cross-verify your projections.Tidewater Midstream Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tidewater Midstream's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tidewater Midstream's future price movements. Getting to know how Tidewater Midstream's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tidewater Midstream may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BTE | Baytex Energy Corp | (0.10) | 9 per month | 2.37 | 0.12 | 4.54 | (4.08) | 20.00 | |
| IPCO | International Petroleum Corp | 0.15 | 5 per month | 2.28 | 0.05 | 5.01 | (3.69) | 13.04 | |
| TVK | Terravest Capital | 3.48 | 2 per month | 2.60 | 0.05 | 3.61 | (4.95) | 31.53 | |
| TVE | Tamarack Valley Energy | (0.07) | 8 per month | 2.00 | 0.20 | 3.79 | (3.36) | 10.49 | |
| POU | Paramount Resources | 0.35 | 7 per month | 1.98 | 0.03 | 2.63 | (3.18) | 7.94 | |
| FRU | Freehold Royalties | 4.55 | 2 per month | 1.02 | 0.15 | 2.24 | (1.89) | 6.39 | |
| NVA | NuVista Energy | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.91 | 0.09 | 1.94 | (1.70) | 6.79 | |
| ATH | Athabasca Oil Corp | (0.08) | 5 per month | 2.15 | 0.09 | 4.40 | (3.58) | 11.96 | |
| CEU | CES Energy Solutions | 0.13 | 9 per month | 1.15 | 0.26 | 4.46 | (2.96) | 21.05 | |
| GEI | Gibson Energy | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.18 | 2.19 | (1.91) | 5.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tidewater Midstream
For every potential investor in Tidewater, whether a beginner or expert, Tidewater Midstream's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tidewater Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tidewater. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tidewater Midstream's price trends.Tidewater Midstream Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tidewater Midstream stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tidewater Midstream could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tidewater Midstream by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tidewater Midstream Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tidewater Midstream stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tidewater Midstream shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tidewater Midstream stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tidewater Midstream and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5395.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8358 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.1 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.29 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.53 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.56 |
Tidewater Midstream Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tidewater Midstream's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tidewater Midstream's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tidewater stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.12 | |||
| Variance | 9.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tidewater Midstream
The number of cover stories for Tidewater Midstream depends on current market conditions and Tidewater Midstream's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tidewater Midstream is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tidewater Midstream's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tidewater Midstream Short Properties
Tidewater Midstream's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tidewater Midstream's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tidewater Midstream and often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tidewater Midstream's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tidewater Midstream's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 429.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 100 K |
Other Information on Investing in Tidewater Stock
Tidewater Midstream financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tidewater Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tidewater with respect to the benefits of owning Tidewater Midstream security.