Freehold Royalties Stock Price Prediction
| FRU Stock | CAD 14.44 0.16 1.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.23 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.51 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.53 | Wall Street Target Price 17.2 |
Using Freehold Royalties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Freehold Royalties from the perspective of Freehold Royalties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Freehold Royalties to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Freehold because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Freehold Royalties after-hype prediction price | CAD 14.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Freehold |
Freehold Royalties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Freehold Royalties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Freehold Royalties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Freehold Royalties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Freehold Royalties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Freehold Royalties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Freehold Royalties' historical news coverage. Freehold Royalties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.31 and 15.57, respectively. We have considered Freehold Royalties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Freehold Royalties is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Freehold Royalties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Freehold Royalties Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Freehold Royalties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Freehold Royalties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Freehold Royalties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.13 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.44 | 14.44 | 0.00 |
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Freehold Royalties Hype Timeline
Freehold Royalties is currently traded for 14.44on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Freehold is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Freehold Royalties is about 610.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.42. About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Freehold Royalties was currently reported as 6.0. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 211.0. Freehold Royalties last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Freehold Royalties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Freehold Royalties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Freehold Royalties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Freehold Royalties' future price movements. Getting to know how Freehold Royalties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Freehold Royalties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARX | ARC Resources | 0.21 | 3 per month | 1.79 | (0.0006) | 3.41 | (3.08) | 9.62 | |
| WCP | Whitecap Resources | 0.03 | 1 per month | 1.71 | (0.01) | 2.29 | (2.96) | 7.57 | |
| PEY | Peyto ExplorationDevelopment Corp | 0.15 | 2 per month | 1.05 | 0.11 | 2.63 | (1.93) | 7.07 | |
| TOU | Tourmaline Oil Corp | (1.13) | 1 per month | 1.54 | 0.03 | 2.56 | (3.00) | 7.34 |
Freehold Royalties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Freehold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freehold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Freehold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Freehold Royalties Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Freehold Royalties stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Freehold Royalties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Freehold Royalties based on analysis of Freehold Royalties hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Freehold Royalties's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Freehold Royalties's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.039 | 0.0594 | 0.0789 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.71 | 6.07 | 6.56 |
Story Coverage note for Freehold Royalties
The number of cover stories for Freehold Royalties depends on current market conditions and Freehold Royalties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Freehold Royalties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Freehold Royalties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Freehold Royalties Short Properties
Freehold Royalties' future price predictability will typically decrease when Freehold Royalties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Freehold Royalties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Freehold Royalties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Freehold Royalties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 151.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -1.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in Freehold Stock
Freehold Royalties financial ratios help investors to determine whether Freehold Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Freehold with respect to the benefits of owning Freehold Royalties security.