Twin Disc Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| TWN Stock | EUR 15.00 0.10 0.66% |
Twin Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Twin Disc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Twin Disc's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 22.39 | Wall Street Target Price 15 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.003 |
Using Twin Disc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Twin Disc Incorporated from the perspective of Twin Disc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Twin Disc Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 14.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.95. Twin Disc after-hype prediction price | EUR 14.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Twin |
Twin Disc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Twin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Twin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Twin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Twin Disc 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Twin Disc Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 14.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Twin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Twin Disc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Twin Disc Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Twin Disc | Twin Disc Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Twin Disc Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Twin Disc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Twin Disc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.72 and 18.12, respectively. We have considered Twin Disc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Twin Disc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Twin Disc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 102.5105 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1693 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5085 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0347 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.95 |
Predictive Modules for Twin Disc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Twin Disc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Twin Disc After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Twin Disc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Twin Disc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Twin Disc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Twin Disc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Twin Disc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Twin Disc's historical news coverage. Twin Disc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.76 and 18.16, respectively. We have considered Twin Disc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Twin Disc is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Twin Disc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Twin Disc Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Twin Disc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Twin Disc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Twin Disc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 3.20 | 0.04 | 0.50 | 7 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.00 | 14.96 | 0.27 |
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Twin Disc Hype Timeline
Twin Disc is at this time traded for 15.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.5. Twin is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Twin Disc is about 241.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.50. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.4. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Twin Disc last dividend was issued on the 18th of February 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Twin Disc to cross-verify your projections.Twin Disc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Twin Disc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Twin Disc's future price movements. Getting to know how Twin Disc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Twin Disc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BYRA | BANK RAKYAT IND | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.88 | (5.56) | 12.13 | |
| BYRA | BANK RAKYAT IND | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.00 | (5.00) | 35.71 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | 13.27 | 7 per month | 4.34 | 0.04 | 11.11 | (10.00) | 26.67 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.16 | 0.02 | 5.88 | (5.56) | 17.03 | |
| BZG2 | BANK CENTRAL ASIA | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.56 | (2.50) | 5.26 | |
| BZG2 | BANK CENTRAL ASIA | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | (2.56) | 12.89 | |
| BZG2 | PT Bank Central | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.50 | (7.69) | 20.00 | |
| PQ9 | PT Bank Mandiri | 0.04 | 1 per month | 5.73 | 0.05 | 17.39 | (14.29) | 40.26 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 24.58 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4.55 | (4.35) | 9.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for Twin Disc
For every potential investor in Twin, whether a beginner or expert, Twin Disc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Twin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Twin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Twin Disc's price trends.Twin Disc Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Twin Disc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Twin Disc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Twin Disc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Twin Disc Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Twin Disc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Twin Disc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Twin Disc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Twin Disc Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0067 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.97 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) |
Twin Disc Risk Indicators
The analysis of Twin Disc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Twin Disc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting twin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.16 | |||
| Variance | 9.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.71) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Twin Disc
The number of cover stories for Twin Disc depends on current market conditions and Twin Disc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Twin Disc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Twin Disc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Twin Disc to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.