Texas Roadhouse Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| TXRH Stock | USD 184.96 1.18 0.63% |
Texas Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Texas Roadhouse's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, The relative strength indicator of Texas Roadhouse's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Texas Roadhouse, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.6744 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.3313 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.6103 | Wall Street Target Price 195.4231 |
Using Texas Roadhouse hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Texas Roadhouse from the perspective of Texas Roadhouse response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Texas Roadhouse using Texas Roadhouse's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Texas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Texas Roadhouse's stock price.
Texas Roadhouse Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Texas Roadhouse's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Texas. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Texas Roadhouse stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 176.161 | Short Percent 0.0485 | Short Ratio 3.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 174.842 |
Texas Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Texas Roadhouse on the next trading day is expected to be 186.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 278.76.Texas Roadhouse Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Texas Roadhouse's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Texas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Texas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Texas Roadhouse. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Texas Roadhouse's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Texas Roadhouse.
Texas Roadhouse Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
Texas Roadhouse's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Texas Roadhouse stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Texas Roadhouse's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Texas Roadhouse stock will not fluctuate a lot when Texas Roadhouse's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Texas Roadhouse on the next trading day is expected to be 186.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 278.76.
Texas Roadhouse after-hype prediction price | USD 184.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Texas Roadhouse to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Texas contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Texas Roadhouse will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Texas Roadhouse trading at USD 184.96, that is roughly USD 0.0393 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Texas Roadhouse's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Texas Roadhouse options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Texas Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Texas Roadhouse's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Texas Roadhouse's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Texas Roadhouse stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Texas Roadhouse's open interest, investors have to compare it to Texas Roadhouse's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Texas Roadhouse is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Texas. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Texas Roadhouse Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Texas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Texas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Texas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Texas Roadhouse Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Texas Roadhouse on the next trading day is expected to be 186.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.50, mean absolute percentage error of 31.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 278.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Texas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Texas Roadhouse's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Texas Roadhouse Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Texas Roadhouse | Texas Roadhouse Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Texas Roadhouse Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Texas Roadhouse's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Texas Roadhouse's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 185.04 and 188.45, respectively. We have considered Texas Roadhouse's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Texas Roadhouse stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Texas Roadhouse stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.3976 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.4961 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0258 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 278.7607 |
Predictive Modules for Texas Roadhouse
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Texas Roadhouse. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Texas Roadhouse After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Texas Roadhouse at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Texas Roadhouse or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Texas Roadhouse, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Texas Roadhouse Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Texas Roadhouse's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Texas Roadhouse's historical news coverage. Texas Roadhouse's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 183.22 and 186.70, respectively. We have considered Texas Roadhouse's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Texas Roadhouse is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Texas Roadhouse is based on 3 months time horizon.
Texas Roadhouse Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Texas Roadhouse is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Texas Roadhouse backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Texas Roadhouse, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.70 | 0.42 | 0.09 | 23 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 23 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
184.96 | 184.96 | 0.00 |
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Texas Roadhouse Hype Timeline
Texas Roadhouse is at this time traded for 184.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Texas is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 85.86%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Texas Roadhouse is about 406.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 184.87. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.31. Texas Roadhouse recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.55. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of September 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 23 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Texas Roadhouse to cross-verify your projections.Texas Roadhouse Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Texas Roadhouse's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Texas Roadhouse's future price movements. Getting to know how Texas Roadhouse's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Texas Roadhouse may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DPZ | Dominos Pizza Common | (2.10) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.68 | (2.15) | 6.97 | |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | (0.28) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.62 | (2.38) | 6.07 | |
| SCI | Service International | 3.65 | 29 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.77 | (1.61) | 7.10 | |
| GME | GameStop Corp | 0.24 | 4 per month | 1.66 | 0.03 | 4.16 | (3.00) | 9.35 | |
| CART | Maplebear | (0.62) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.91 | (3.87) | 11.01 | |
| NCLH | Norwegian Cruise Line | (0.56) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.34 | (4.78) | 16.18 | |
| CCK | Crown Holdings | 1.10 | 9 per month | 1.53 | 0 | 2.35 | (2.36) | 6.71 | |
| BROS | Dutch Bros | (4.03) | 28 per month | 2.06 | (0) | 5.22 | (3.90) | 11.84 | |
| HAS | Hasbro Inc | (0.36) | 8 per month | 0.86 | 0.15 | 3.15 | (1.67) | 6.56 | |
| SN | SharkNinja | (1.22) | 22 per month | 2.19 | 0.15 | 5.93 | (3.37) | 14.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Texas Roadhouse
For every potential investor in Texas, whether a beginner or expert, Texas Roadhouse's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Texas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Texas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Texas Roadhouse's price trends.Texas Roadhouse Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Texas Roadhouse stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Texas Roadhouse could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Texas Roadhouse by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Texas Roadhouse Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Texas Roadhouse stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Texas Roadhouse shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Texas Roadhouse stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Texas Roadhouse entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 13940.59 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.29) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 186.53 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 186.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.16) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.18) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.07 |
Texas Roadhouse Risk Indicators
The analysis of Texas Roadhouse's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Texas Roadhouse's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting texas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.19 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Texas Roadhouse
The number of cover stories for Texas Roadhouse depends on current market conditions and Texas Roadhouse's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Texas Roadhouse is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Texas Roadhouse's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Texas Roadhouse Short Properties
Texas Roadhouse's future price predictability will typically decrease when Texas Roadhouse's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Texas Roadhouse often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Texas Roadhouse's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Texas Roadhouse's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 245.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Texas Roadhouse to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Texas Stock please use our How to Invest in Texas Roadhouse guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Texas Roadhouse. If investors know Texas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Texas Roadhouse listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 2.65 | Earnings Share 6.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.128 |
The market value of Texas Roadhouse is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Texas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Texas Roadhouse's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Texas Roadhouse's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Texas Roadhouse's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Texas Roadhouse's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Texas Roadhouse's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Texas Roadhouse is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Texas Roadhouse's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.