CVR Partners Stock Forward View
| UAN Stock | USD 102.75 0.94 0.92% |
CVR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although CVR Partners' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CVR Partners' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CVR Partners fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of CVR Partners' share price is approaching 48. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CVR Partners, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.314 | Wall Street Target Price 9.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.306 |
Using CVR Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CVR Partners LP from the perspective of CVR Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CVR Partners using CVR Partners' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CVR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CVR Partners' stock price.
CVR Partners Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
CVR Partners' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CVR Partners LP stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CVR Partners' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CVR Partners stock will not fluctuate a lot when CVR Partners' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CVR Partners LP on the next trading day is expected to be 93.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.73. CVR Partners after-hype prediction price | USD 102.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CVR Partners to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CVR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CVR Partners LP will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With CVR Partners trading at USD 102.75, that is roughly USD 0.0321 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CVR Partners' daily price movement you should consider acquiring CVR Partners LP options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 CVR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CVR Partners' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CVR Partners' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CVR Partners stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CVR Partners' open interest, investors have to compare it to CVR Partners' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CVR Partners is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CVR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CVR Partners Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CVR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CVR using various technical indicators. When you analyze CVR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CVR Partners Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the CVR Partners' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2008-12-31 | Previous Quarter 114.4 M | Current Value 156.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 55.2 M |
CVR Partners Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CVR Partners LP on the next trading day is expected to be 93.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73, mean absolute percentage error of 6.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CVR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CVR Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CVR Partners Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CVR Partners | CVR Partners Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CVR Partners Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CVR Partners' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CVR Partners' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 91.45 and 96.27, respectively. We have considered CVR Partners' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CVR Partners stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CVR Partners stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.9578 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7332 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 105.7275 |
Predictive Modules for CVR Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVR Partners LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CVR Partners After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CVR Partners at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CVR Partners or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CVR Partners, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CVR Partners Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CVR Partners' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CVR Partners' historical news coverage. CVR Partners' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 100.49 and 105.31, respectively. We have considered CVR Partners' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CVR Partners is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVR Partners LP is based on 3 months time horizon.
CVR Partners Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CVR Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CVR Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CVR Partners, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.41 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
102.75 | 102.90 | 0.15 |
|
CVR Partners Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February CVR Partners LP is traded for 102.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. CVR is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 102.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on CVR Partners is about 676.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 102.80. The company reported the last year's revenue of 525.32 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 60.9 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 276.44 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CVR Partners to cross-verify your projections.CVR Partners Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CVR Partners' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CVR Partners' future price movements. Getting to know how CVR Partners' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CVR Partners may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| REX | REX American Resources | 0.21 | 8 per month | 1.62 | 0.05 | 2.78 | (2.66) | 8.84 | |
| BAK | Braskem SA Class | (0.14) | 5 per month | 2.82 | 0.10 | 8.68 | (4.87) | 27.76 | |
| GSM | Ferroglobe PLC | (0.02) | 7 per month | 3.25 | 0.01 | 5.66 | (5.47) | 19.69 | |
| NAK | Northern Dynasty Minerals | (0.03) | 9 per month | 4.05 | 0.05 | 8.29 | (7.80) | 22.41 | |
| CRML | Critical Metals Corp | 2.72 | 10 per month | 6.86 | 0.08 | 20.25 | (11.25) | 50.50 | |
| SLSR | Solaris Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.27 | 0.20 | 6.60 | (3.72) | 21.91 | |
| SCL | Stepan Company | 0.53 | 10 per month | 1.13 | 0.26 | 3.48 | (2.57) | 7.15 | |
| CNL | Collective Mining | (0.74) | 10 per month | 4.05 | 0.18 | 5.62 | (6.21) | 25.04 | |
| MUX | McEwen Mining | 0.93 | 9 per month | 4.03 | 0.13 | 7.27 | (6.07) | 22.81 | |
| ECVT | Ecovyst | 0.1 | 8 per month | 1.75 | 0.19 | 3.11 | (2.86) | 13.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for CVR Partners
For every potential investor in CVR, whether a beginner or expert, CVR Partners' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CVR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CVR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CVR Partners' price trends.CVR Partners Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CVR Partners stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CVR Partners could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CVR Partners by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CVR Partners Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CVR Partners stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CVR Partners shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CVR Partners stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CVR Partners LP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CVR Partners Risk Indicators
The analysis of CVR Partners' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CVR Partners' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cvr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Variance | 5.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CVR Partners
The number of cover stories for CVR Partners depends on current market conditions and CVR Partners' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CVR Partners is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CVR Partners' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
CVR Partners Short Properties
CVR Partners' future price predictability will typically decrease when CVR Partners' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CVR Partners LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CVR Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVR Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CVR Partners to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals sector continue expanding? Could CVR diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CVR Partners. If investors know CVR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CVR Partners data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.314 | Dividend Share 11.92 | Earnings Share 12.04 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.306 |
The market value of CVR Partners LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CVR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CVR Partners' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CVR Partners' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because CVR Partners' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CVR Partners' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CVR Partners' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CVR Partners is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, CVR Partners' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.