UBS Group Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

UBS Stock  USD 41.92  0.34  0.80%   
UBS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of UBS Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of UBS Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of UBS Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from UBS Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with UBS Group AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting UBS Group's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.585
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.8006
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.81
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.67
Wall Street Target Price
49.315
Using UBS Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UBS Group AG from the perspective of UBS Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards UBS Group using UBS Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards UBS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of UBS Group's stock price.

UBS Group Short Interest

An investor who is long UBS Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about UBS Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge UBS Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
38.9451
Short Percent
0.0035
Short Ratio
5.22
Shares Short Prior Month
10.7 M
50 Day MA
45.3518

UBS Relative Strength Index

UBS Group AG Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to UBS Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in UBS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding UBS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around UBS Group AG. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of UBS Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about UBS Group.

UBS Group Implied Volatility

    
  0.42  
UBS Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of UBS Group AG stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if UBS Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that UBS Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when UBS Group's options are near their expiration.

UBS Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 41.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UBS Group to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current UBS contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that UBS Group AG will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With UBS Group trading at USD 41.92, that is roughly USD 0.011 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating UBS Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring UBS Group AG options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 UBS Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast UBS Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in UBS Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for UBS Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current UBS Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to UBS Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of UBS Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in UBS. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

UBS Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine UBS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UBS using various technical indicators. When you analyze UBS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
UBS Group AG has current Accumulation Distribution of 0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which UBS Group is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of UBS Group AG to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by UBS Group trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check UBS Group VolatilityBacktest UBS GroupInformation Ratio  

UBS Group Trading Date Momentum

On February 13 2026 UBS Group AG was traded for  41.91  at the closing time. Highest UBS Group's price during the trading hours was 41.91  and the lowest price during the day was  41.91 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 13th of February 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 0.82% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare UBS Group to competition

Other Forecasting Options for UBS Group

For every potential investor in UBS, whether a beginner or expert, UBS Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UBS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UBS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UBS Group's price trends.

UBS Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with UBS Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of UBS Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UBS Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

UBS Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how UBS Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading UBS Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying UBS Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify UBS Group AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

UBS Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of UBS Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UBS Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ubs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for UBS Group

The number of cover stories for UBS Group depends on current market conditions and UBS Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that UBS Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about UBS Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Additional Tools for UBS Stock Analysis

When running UBS Group's price analysis, check to measure UBS Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UBS Group is operating at the current time. Most of UBS Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UBS Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UBS Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UBS Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.