Universal Electronics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| UEIC Stock | USD 4.08 0.22 5.70% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Universal Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 4.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.69. Universal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Universal Electronics stock prices and determine the direction of Universal Electronics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Universal Electronics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Universal Electronics' share price is at 59. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Universal Electronics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.065 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.12) | Wall Street Target Price 4.25 |
Using Universal Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Universal Electronics from the perspective of Universal Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Universal Electronics using Universal Electronics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Universal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Universal Electronics' stock price.
Universal Electronics Implied Volatility | 2.21 |
Universal Electronics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Universal Electronics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Universal Electronics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Universal Electronics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Universal Electronics' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Universal Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 4.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.69. Universal Electronics after-hype prediction price | USD 4.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Universal | Build AI portfolio with Universal Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Universal Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Universal Electronics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Universal Electronics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Universal Electronics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Universal Electronics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Universal Electronics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Universal Electronics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Universal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Universal Electronics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Universal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Universal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Universal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Universal Electronics Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Universal Electronics' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1991-12-31 | Previous Quarter 34.3 M | Current Value 31.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 27.3 M |
Universal Electronics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Universal Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 4.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Universal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Universal Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Universal Electronics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Universal Electronics | Universal Electronics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Universal Electronics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Universal Electronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Universal Electronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.11 and 8.23, respectively. We have considered Universal Electronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Universal Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Universal Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1615 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.124 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0376 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.6904 |
Predictive Modules for Universal Electronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Universal Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Universal Electronics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Universal Electronics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Universal Electronics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Universal Electronics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Universal Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Universal Electronics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Universal Electronics' historical news coverage. Universal Electronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 8.11, respectively. We have considered Universal Electronics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Universal Electronics is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Universal Electronics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Universal Electronics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Universal Electronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Universal Electronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Universal Electronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 4.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.08 | 4.08 | 0.00 |
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Universal Electronics Hype Timeline
Universal Electronics is at this time traded for 4.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Universal is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Universal Electronics is about 8458.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.08. About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.35. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Universal Electronics recorded a loss per share of 1.67. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 1st of February 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Universal Electronics to cross-verify your projections.Universal Electronics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Universal Electronics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Universal Electronics' future price movements. Getting to know how Universal Electronics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Universal Electronics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PHUN | Phunware | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.24 | (6.09) | 13.16 | |
| SURG | Surgepays | 0.06 | 30 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 11.49 | (12.35) | 52.00 | |
| KOSS | Koss Corporation | (0.03) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.20 | (4.64) | 19.13 | |
| AIRG | Airgain | (0.08) | 9 per month | 3.79 | 0.02 | 6.88 | (3.78) | 26.60 | |
| MOB | Mobilicom Limited American | 0.43 | 10 per month | 6.74 | 0.04 | 11.31 | (10.91) | 34.44 | |
| KPLT | Katapult Holdings | (0.07) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.04 | (9.54) | 40.33 | |
| ODYS | Odysightai Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.85 | 0.08 | 9.49 | (7.01) | 25.92 | |
| NEON | Neonode | 0.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.95 | (5.26) | 19.17 | |
| NOTE | FiscalNote Holdings | (0.07) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 6.92 | (8.15) | 15.73 | |
| AWRE | Aware Inc | 0.09 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.10 | (5.95) | 14.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Universal Electronics
For every potential investor in Universal, whether a beginner or expert, Universal Electronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Universal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Universal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Universal Electronics' price trends.Universal Electronics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Universal Electronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Universal Electronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universal Electronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Universal Electronics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Universal Electronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Universal Electronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Universal Electronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Universal Electronics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Universal Electronics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Universal Electronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Universal Electronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting universal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.87 | |||
| Variance | 15.0 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Universal Electronics
The number of cover stories for Universal Electronics depends on current market conditions and Universal Electronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Universal Electronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Universal Electronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Universal Electronics Short Properties
Universal Electronics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Universal Electronics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Universal Electronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Universal Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Universal Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Universal Electronics to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Universal Stock refer to our How to Trade Universal Stock guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Consumer Electronics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Electronics. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Electronics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | Earnings Share (1.67) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Universal Electronics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Electronics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Electronics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Electronics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Electronics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Electronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universal Electronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Electronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.