Union Financial Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| UFCP Stock | USD 2.51 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Union Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 2.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Union Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Union Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Union Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Union Financial from the perspective of Union Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Union Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 2.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Union Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 2.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Union |
Union Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Union price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Union using various technical indicators. When you analyze Union charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Union Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Union Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 2.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Union Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Union Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Union Financial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Union Financial | Union Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Union Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Union Financial's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Union Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.51 and 2.51, respectively. We have considered Union Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Union Financial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Union Financial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Union Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Union Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Union Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Union Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Union Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Union Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Union Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Union Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Union Financial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Union Financial's historical news coverage. Union Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.51 and 2.51, respectively. We have considered Union Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Union Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Union Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Union Financial Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Union Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Union Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Union Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.51 | 2.51 | 0.00 |
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Union Financial Hype Timeline
Union Financial is at this time traded for 2.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Union is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Union Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.51. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of January 2022. Union Financial had 3:1 split on the 2nd of March 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Union Financial to cross-verify your projections.Union Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Union Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Union Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Union Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Union Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCFC | CCSB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.96 | (0.87) | 12.50 | |
| VERF | Versailles Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IDFB | Peak Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FPBC | Friendly Hills Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | (0.14) | 0.97 | (1.35) | 5.29 | |
| FNFPA | First Niles Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.96 | |
| WAKE | Wake Forest Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRAA | Traack Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.43 | 0.13 | 63.64 | (30.00) | 249.38 | |
| RLYNF | Rallye SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MCPH | Midland Capital Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LWLW | Longwen Group Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Union Financial
For every potential investor in Union, whether a beginner or expert, Union Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Union Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Union. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Union Financial's price trends.Union Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Union Financial pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Union Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Union Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Union Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Union Financial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Union Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Union Financial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Union Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Union Financial
The number of cover stories for Union Financial depends on current market conditions and Union Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Union Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Union Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Union Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Union Financial's price analysis, check to measure Union Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Union Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.