United Microelectronics Stock Forward View
| UMC Stock | USD 10.11 0.14 1.40% |
United Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast United Microelectronics stock prices and determine the direction of United Microelectronics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of United Microelectronics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of United Microelectronics' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.185 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.123 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5704 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7507 | Wall Street Target Price 8.1664 |
Using United Microelectronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Microelectronics from the perspective of United Microelectronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards United Microelectronics using United Microelectronics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards United using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of United Microelectronics' stock price.
United Microelectronics Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in United Microelectronics' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards United. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of United Microelectronics stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 7.6843 | Short Percent 0.0205 | Short Ratio 5.39 | Shares Short Prior Month 45.9 M | 50 Day MA 8.7002 |
United Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of United Microelectronics on the next trading day is expected to be 8.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.20.United Microelectronics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to United Microelectronics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in United. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding United can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around United Microelectronics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of United Microelectronics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about United Microelectronics.
United Microelectronics Implied Volatility | 0.98 |
United Microelectronics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of United Microelectronics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if United Microelectronics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that United Microelectronics stock will not fluctuate a lot when United Microelectronics' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of United Microelectronics on the next trading day is expected to be 8.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.20. United Microelectronics after-hype prediction price | USD 10.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Microelectronics to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current United contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that United Microelectronics will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0613% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With United Microelectronics trading at USD 10.11, that is roughly USD 0.006192 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating United Microelectronics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring United Microelectronics options at the current volatility level of 0.98%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 United Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast United Microelectronics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in United Microelectronics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for United Microelectronics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current United Microelectronics' open interest, investors have to compare it to United Microelectronics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of United Microelectronics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in United. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
United Microelectronics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
United Microelectronics Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the United Microelectronics' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-06-30 | Previous Quarter 104.2 B | Current Value 110.7 B | Quarterly Volatility 35.6 B |
United Microelectronics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of United Microelectronics on the next trading day is expected to be 8.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United Microelectronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
United Microelectronics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest United Microelectronics | United Microelectronics Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
United Microelectronics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting United Microelectronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United Microelectronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.69 and 12.18, respectively. We have considered United Microelectronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United Microelectronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United Microelectronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2946 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2656 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0282 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.2005 |
Predictive Modules for United Microelectronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Microelectronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.United Microelectronics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of United Microelectronics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Microelectronics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of United Microelectronics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
United Microelectronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting United Microelectronics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Microelectronics' historical news coverage. United Microelectronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.47 and 13.95, respectively. We have considered United Microelectronics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
United Microelectronics is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Microelectronics is based on 3 months time horizon.
United Microelectronics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Microelectronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Microelectronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Microelectronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 3.74 | 0.10 | 0.75 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.11 | 10.21 | 0.99 |
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United Microelectronics Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February United Microelectronics is traded for 10.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.75. United is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.99%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on United Microelectronics is about 279.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.36. The company reported the last year's revenue of 237.55 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 41.72 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 68.91 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Microelectronics to cross-verify your projections.United Microelectronics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to United Microelectronics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Microelectronics' future price movements. Getting to know how United Microelectronics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Microelectronics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GFS | Globalfoundries | (0.53) | 9 per month | 2.34 | 0.07 | 5.58 | (4.16) | 12.30 | |
| ON | ON Semiconductor | (1.65) | 10 per month | 2.11 | 0.12 | 4.71 | (4.13) | 16.50 | |
| GIB | CGI Inc | (0.81) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.21 | (2.15) | 13.00 | |
| STM | STMicroelectronics NV ADR | (0.87) | 7 per month | 1.92 | 0.1 | 5.28 | (3.25) | 12.93 | |
| IT | Gartner | (7.24) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.38 | (5.88) | 26.20 | |
| CDW | CDW Corp | (2.44) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.61 | (3.34) | 10.15 | |
| CPAY | Corpay Inc | 2.42 | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.15 | 4.15 | (3.06) | 11.04 | |
| GDDY | Godaddy | 2.17 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.80 | (3.48) | 11.17 | |
| SSNC | SSC Technologies Holdings | (0.96) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.54 | (2.13) | 13.44 | |
| CHKP | Check Point Software | (3.46) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.06 | (2.74) | 6.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for United Microelectronics
For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United Microelectronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United Microelectronics' price trends.United Microelectronics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United Microelectronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United Microelectronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Microelectronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
United Microelectronics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United Microelectronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United Microelectronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United Microelectronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify United Microelectronics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
United Microelectronics Risk Indicators
The analysis of United Microelectronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in United Microelectronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting united stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.69 | |||
| Variance | 13.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.48) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for United Microelectronics
The number of cover stories for United Microelectronics depends on current market conditions and United Microelectronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Microelectronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Microelectronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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United Microelectronics Short Properties
United Microelectronics' future price predictability will typically decrease when United Microelectronics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Microelectronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Microelectronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Microelectronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 110.7 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Microelectronics to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade United Stock refer to our How to Trade United Stock guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could United diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Microelectronics. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every United Microelectronics data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.185 | Earnings Share 0.54 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.024 | Return On Assets |
United Microelectronics's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on United's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate United Microelectronics' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since United Microelectronics' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Microelectronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Microelectronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Microelectronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.