Unifirst Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| UNF Stock | USD 207.99 0.00 0.00% |
Unifirst Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Unifirst's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Unifirst's stock price is roughly 65. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Unifirst, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.0379 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.8049 | Wall Street Target Price 183 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.0621 |
Using Unifirst hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Unifirst from the perspective of Unifirst response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Unifirst using Unifirst's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Unifirst using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Unifirst's stock price.
Unifirst Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Unifirst's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Unifirst. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Unifirst stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 176.8006 | Short Percent 0.0425 | Short Ratio 1.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 501.8 K | 50 Day MA 183.908 |
Unifirst Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Unifirst on the next trading day is expected to be 204.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.42.Unifirst Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Unifirst's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Unifirst. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Unifirst can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Unifirst. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Unifirst's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Unifirst.
Unifirst Implied Volatility | 0.58 |
Unifirst's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Unifirst stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Unifirst's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Unifirst stock will not fluctuate a lot when Unifirst's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Unifirst on the next trading day is expected to be 204.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.42. Unifirst after-hype prediction price | USD 212.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Unifirst to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Unifirst contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Unifirst will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Unifirst trading at USD 207.99, that is roughly USD 0.0754 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Unifirst's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Unifirst options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Unifirst Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Unifirst's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Unifirst's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Unifirst stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Unifirst's open interest, investors have to compare it to Unifirst's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Unifirst is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Unifirst. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Unifirst Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Unifirst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Unifirst using various technical indicators. When you analyze Unifirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Unifirst Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Unifirst's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-08-31 | Previous Quarter 203.5 M | Current Value 124 M | Quarterly Volatility 151.2 M |
Unifirst Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Unifirst on the next trading day is expected to be 204.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.25, mean absolute percentage error of 20.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Unifirst Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Unifirst's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Unifirst Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Unifirst | Unifirst Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Unifirst Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Unifirst's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Unifirst's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 202.32 and 207.42, respectively. We have considered Unifirst's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Unifirst stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Unifirst stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.1441 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2528 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0179 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 198.4205 |
Predictive Modules for Unifirst
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unifirst. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Unifirst After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Unifirst at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Unifirst or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Unifirst, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Unifirst Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Unifirst's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Unifirst's historical news coverage. Unifirst's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 187.19 and 214.87, respectively. We have considered Unifirst's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Unifirst is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Unifirst is based on 3 months time horizon.
Unifirst Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Unifirst is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Unifirst backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Unifirst, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 2.55 | 4.22 | 0.10 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
207.99 | 212.30 | 2.07 |
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Unifirst Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Unifirst is traded for 207.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 4.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Unifirst is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 212.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 27.78%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 2.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Unifirst is about 1133.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 208.09. Unifirst has 72.44 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Unifirst to cross-verify your projections.Unifirst Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Unifirst's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Unifirst's future price movements. Getting to know how Unifirst's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Unifirst may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABM | ABM Industries Incorporated | 0.02 | 9 per month | 2.62 | (0.03) | 2.57 | (3.92) | 15.37 | |
| CBZ | CBIZ Inc | 0.33 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.84 | (4.20) | 14.71 | |
| TNET | TriNet Group | (1.37) | 10 per month | 2.18 | (0) | 3.69 | (3.30) | 9.52 | |
| HURN | Huron Consulting Group | (0.38) | 9 per month | 1.16 | 0.06 | 2.39 | (2.24) | 14.24 | |
| MGRC | McGrath RentCorp | (3.66) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.75 | (2.02) | 7.75 | |
| TEX | Terex | (0.77) | 4 per month | 3.19 | 0.03 | 4.18 | (3.78) | 23.19 | |
| TIC | Acuren | (0.25) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.24 | (4.86) | 13.24 | |
| RHI | Robert Half International | 8.69 | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.27 | (3.95) | 11.16 | |
| SB | Safe Bulkers | (0.07) | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.15 | 3.34 | (1.72) | 13.45 | |
| RXO | RXO Inc | (0.29) | 33 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.09 | (7.77) | 25.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Unifirst
For every potential investor in Unifirst, whether a beginner or expert, Unifirst's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Unifirst Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Unifirst. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Unifirst's price trends.Unifirst Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Unifirst stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Unifirst could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Unifirst by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Unifirst Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Unifirst stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Unifirst shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Unifirst stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Unifirst entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0174 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 208.18 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 208.11 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.65 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.18) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 65.18 |
Unifirst Risk Indicators
The analysis of Unifirst's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Unifirst's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting unifirst stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Variance | 7.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Unifirst
The number of cover stories for Unifirst depends on current market conditions and Unifirst's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Unifirst is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Unifirst's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Unifirst Short Properties
Unifirst's future price predictability will typically decrease when Unifirst's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Unifirst often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Unifirst's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unifirst's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 209.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Unifirst to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Unifirst Stock please use our How to Invest in Unifirst guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Unifirst. If investors know Unifirst will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Unifirst listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Dividend Share 1.415 | Earnings Share 7.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 |
The market value of Unifirst is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Unifirst that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Unifirst's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Unifirst's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Unifirst's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Unifirst's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Unifirst's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Unifirst is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Unifirst's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.