Unifirst Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

UNF Stock  USD 193.78  0.88  0.46%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Unifirst on the next trading day is expected to be 203.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 234.16. Unifirst Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Unifirst's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Unifirst's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Unifirst's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Unifirst and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Unifirst's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Unifirst, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Unifirst's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.0023
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.8495
Wall Street Target Price
167.3333
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
2.0933
Using Unifirst hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Unifirst from the perspective of Unifirst response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Unifirst using Unifirst's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Unifirst using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Unifirst's stock price.

Unifirst Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Unifirst's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Unifirst. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Unifirst stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
175.2305
Short Percent
0.0405
Short Ratio
2.44
Shares Short Prior Month
422.5 K
50 Day MA
169.5112

Unifirst Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Unifirst's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Unifirst. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Unifirst can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Unifirst. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Unifirst's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Unifirst.

Unifirst Implied Volatility

    
  0.81  
Unifirst's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Unifirst stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Unifirst's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Unifirst stock will not fluctuate a lot when Unifirst's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Unifirst on the next trading day is expected to be 203.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 234.16.

Unifirst after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 191.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Unifirst to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Unifirst Stock please use our How to Invest in Unifirst guide.At this time, Unifirst's Asset Turnover is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 15.8 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 136.8 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Unifirst Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Unifirst's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Unifirst's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Unifirst stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Unifirst's open interest, investors have to compare it to Unifirst's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Unifirst is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Unifirst. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Unifirst Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Unifirst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Unifirst using various technical indicators. When you analyze Unifirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Unifirst Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Unifirst's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-08-31
Previous Quarter
203.5 M
Current Value
203.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
151.6 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Unifirst is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Unifirst value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Unifirst Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Unifirst on the next trading day is expected to be 203.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.84, mean absolute percentage error of 26.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 234.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Unifirst Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Unifirst's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Unifirst Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest UnifirstUnifirst Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Unifirst Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Unifirst's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Unifirst's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 200.40 and 205.77, respectively. We have considered Unifirst's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
193.78
200.40
Downside
203.08
Expected Value
205.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Unifirst stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Unifirst stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.3825
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.8387
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0221
SAESum of the absolute errors234.1628
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Unifirst. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Unifirst. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Unifirst

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unifirst. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
188.87191.58194.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
185.31188.02210.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
157.93180.60203.27
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
152.27167.33185.74
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Unifirst

For every potential investor in Unifirst, whether a beginner or expert, Unifirst's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Unifirst Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Unifirst. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Unifirst's price trends.

Unifirst Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Unifirst stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Unifirst could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Unifirst by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Unifirst Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Unifirst's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Unifirst's current price.

Unifirst Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Unifirst stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Unifirst shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Unifirst stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Unifirst entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Unifirst Risk Indicators

The analysis of Unifirst's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Unifirst's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting unifirst stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Unifirst is a strong investment it is important to analyze Unifirst's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Unifirst's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Unifirst Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Unifirst to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Unifirst Stock please use our How to Invest in Unifirst guide.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Unifirst. If investors know Unifirst will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Unifirst listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Dividend Share
1.4
Earnings Share
7.98
Revenue Per Share
131.329
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Unifirst is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Unifirst that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Unifirst's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Unifirst's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Unifirst's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Unifirst's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Unifirst's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Unifirst is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Unifirst's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.