USANA Health Stock Forward View
| USNA Stock | USD 21.68 0.31 1.45% |
USANA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast USANA Health stock prices and determine the direction of USANA Health Sciences's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of USANA Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of USANA Health's share price is at 55. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling USANA Health, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.74 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.95 | Wall Street Target Price 39 |
Using USANA Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of USANA Health Sciences from the perspective of USANA Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards USANA Health using USANA Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards USANA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of USANA Health's stock price.
USANA Health Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in USANA Health's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards USANA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of USANA Health stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 26.1526 | Short Percent 0.0478 | Short Ratio 3.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 584.2 K | 50 Day MA 20.2112 |
USANA Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of USANA Health Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 21.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.90.USANA Health Sciences Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to USANA Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in USANA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding USANA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around USANA Health Sciences. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of USANA Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about USANA Health.
USANA Health Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
USANA Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of USANA Health Sciences stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if USANA Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that USANA Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when USANA Health's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of USANA Health Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 21.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.90. USANA Health after-hype prediction price | USD 21.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of USANA Health to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current USANA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that USANA Health Sciences will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With USANA Health trading at USD 21.68, that is roughly USD 0.0142 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating USANA Health's daily price movement you should consider acquiring USANA Health Sciences options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 USANA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast USANA Health's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in USANA Health's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for USANA Health stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current USANA Health's open interest, investors have to compare it to USANA Health's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of USANA Health is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in USANA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
USANA Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine USANA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for USANA using various technical indicators. When you analyze USANA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
USANA Health Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the USANA Health's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1994-03-31 | Previous Quarter 151.3 M | Current Value 145.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 107.9 M |
USANA Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of USANA Health Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 21.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict USANA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that USANA Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
USANA Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest USANA Health | USANA Health Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
USANA Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting USANA Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. USANA Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.35 and 23.41, respectively. We have considered USANA Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of USANA Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent USANA Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.1309 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3371 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.8975 |
Predictive Modules for USANA Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as USANA Health Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.USANA Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of USANA Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in USANA Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of USANA Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
USANA Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting USANA Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on USANA Health's historical news coverage. USANA Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.67 and 23.69, respectively. We have considered USANA Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
USANA Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of USANA Health Sciences is based on 3 months time horizon.
USANA Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as USANA Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading USANA Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with USANA Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.68 | 21.68 | 0.00 |
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USANA Health Hype Timeline
USANA Health Sciences is at this time traded for 21.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. USANA is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on USANA Health is about 33833.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.68. About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.74. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. USANA Health Sciences has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.94. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 23rd of November 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of USANA Health to cross-verify your projections.USANA Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to USANA Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict USANA Health's future price movements. Getting to know how USANA Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how USANA Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LWAY | Lifeway Foods | (0.19) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.81 | (3.15) | 10.60 | |
| WEST | Westrock Coffee | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.01 | (6.70) | 18.25 | |
| MAMA | Mamas Creations | (0.1) | 10 per month | 2.05 | 0.12 | 4.44 | (3.13) | 36.68 | |
| DDL | Dingdong Limited ADR | 0.48 | 7 per month | 2.91 | 0.14 | 8.38 | (6.16) | 31.13 | |
| QSG | QuantaSing Group Limited | (0.32) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 6.26 | (6.49) | 16.19 | |
| BGS | BG Foods | (0.04) | 9 per month | 2.34 | 0 | 3.75 | (3.50) | 31.62 | |
| LND | Brasilagro Adr | 0.05 | 1 per month | 1.12 | 0.08 | 2.71 | (2.19) | 6.54 | |
| VSTA | Vasta Platform | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.42 | (1.61) | 11.44 | |
| BRCC | BRC Inc | 0.03 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.15 | (6.82) | 20.30 | |
| CVGW | Calavo Growers | (0.07) | 24 per month | 1.86 | 0.02 | 2.72 | (3.58) | 16.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for USANA Health
For every potential investor in USANA, whether a beginner or expert, USANA Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. USANA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in USANA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying USANA Health's price trends.USANA Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with USANA Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of USANA Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing USANA Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
USANA Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how USANA Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading USANA Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying USANA Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify USANA Health Sciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
USANA Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of USANA Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in USANA Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting usana stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Variance | 4.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for USANA Health
The number of cover stories for USANA Health depends on current market conditions and USANA Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that USANA Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about USANA Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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USANA Health Short Properties
USANA Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when USANA Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of USANA Health Sciences often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential USANA Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. USANA Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 181.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of USANA Health to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of USANA Health. If investors know USANA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive USANA Health assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Earnings Share 0.9 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.067 | Return On Assets |
Understanding USANA Health Sciences requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects USANA's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what USANA Health's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push USANA Health's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between USANA Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if USANA Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, USANA Health's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.