Usana Health Sciences Stock Price Patterns
| USNA Stock | USD 21.34 0.53 2.55% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.74 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.95 | Wall Street Target Price 39 |
Using USANA Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of USANA Health Sciences from the perspective of USANA Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards USANA Health using USANA Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards USANA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of USANA Health's stock price.
USANA Health Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in USANA Health's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards USANA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of USANA Health stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 26.0673 | Short Percent 0.0478 | Short Ratio 3.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 584.2 K | 50 Day MA 20.477 |
USANA Health Sciences Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to USANA Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in USANA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding USANA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around USANA Health Sciences. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of USANA Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about USANA Health.
USANA Health Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
USANA Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of USANA Health Sciences stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if USANA Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that USANA Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when USANA Health's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in USANA Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying USANA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
USANA Health after-hype prediction price | USD 21.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current USANA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that USANA Health Sciences will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0688% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With USANA Health trading at USD 21.34, that is roughly USD 0.0147 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating USANA Health's daily price movement you should consider acquiring USANA Health Sciences options at the current volatility level of 1.1%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out USANA Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. USANA Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of USANA Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in USANA Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of USANA Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
USANA Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting USANA Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on USANA Health's historical news coverage. USANA Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.30 and 23.26, respectively. We have considered USANA Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
USANA Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of USANA Health Sciences is based on 3 months time horizon.
USANA Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as USANA Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading USANA Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with USANA Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.97 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.34 | 21.28 | 0.28 |
|
USANA Health Hype Timeline
USANA Health Sciences is at this time traded for 21.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. USANA is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on USANA Health is about 7035.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.33. About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. USANA Health Sciences has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.94. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 23rd of November 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out USANA Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.USANA Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to USANA Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict USANA Health's future price movements. Getting to know how USANA Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how USANA Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LWAY | Lifeway Foods | (1.34) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.81 | (3.01) | 10.60 | |
| WEST | Westrock Coffee | (0.01) | 9 per month | 3.13 | 0.04 | 8.01 | (6.44) | 18.25 | |
| MAMA | Mamas Creations | 0.11 | 11 per month | 1.86 | 0.14 | 4.44 | (2.96) | 36.68 | |
| DDL | Dingdong Limited ADR | (0.1) | 16 per month | 3.63 | 0.13 | 8.38 | (6.94) | 38.06 | |
| QSG | QuantaSing Group Limited | 0.64 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.26 | (6.49) | 16.19 | |
| BGS | BG Foods | 0.14 | 8 per month | 2.06 | 0.11 | 3.84 | (3.36) | 31.62 | |
| LND | Brasilagro Adr | (0.07) | 1 per month | 1.58 | (0.01) | 2.71 | (2.40) | 9.28 | |
| VSTA | Vasta Platform | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.42 | (1.61) | 11.44 | |
| BRCC | BRC Inc | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.15 | (7.06) | 16.11 | |
| CVGW | Calavo Growers | 0.38 | 6 per month | 1.63 | 0.06 | 2.72 | (3.27) | 16.73 |
USANA Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine USANA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for USANA using various technical indicators. When you analyze USANA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About USANA Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of USANA Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as USANA Health Sciences, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of USANA Health based on analysis of USANA Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to USANA Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to USANA Health's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 2.64 | 2.85 | 2.57 | 3.11 | PTB Ratio | 2.36 | 2.08 | 2.39 | 2.27 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Complementary Tools for USANA Stock analysis
When running USANA Health's price analysis, check to measure USANA Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy USANA Health is operating at the current time. Most of USANA Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of USANA Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move USANA Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of USANA Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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