US Physicalrapy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

USPH Stock  USD 81.25  2.99  3.55%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of US Physicalrapy on the next trading day is expected to be 79.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.25. USPH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of US Physicalrapy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of US Physicalrapy's share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 91

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of US Physicalrapy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with US Physicalrapy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting US Physicalrapy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.236
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.6927
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.6354
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.9947
Wall Street Target Price
105.3333
Using US Physicalrapy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of US Physicalrapy from the perspective of US Physicalrapy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards US Physicalrapy using US Physicalrapy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards USPH using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of US Physicalrapy's stock price.

US Physicalrapy Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in US Physicalrapy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards USPH. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of US Physicalrapy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
78.1532
Short Percent
0.06
Short Ratio
3.85
Shares Short Prior Month
853.1 K
50 Day MA
78.7022

US Physicalrapy Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to US Physicalrapy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in USPH. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding USPH can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around US Physicalrapy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of US Physicalrapy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about US Physicalrapy.

US Physicalrapy Implied Volatility

    
  0.5  
US Physicalrapy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of US Physicalrapy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if US Physicalrapy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that US Physicalrapy stock will not fluctuate a lot when US Physicalrapy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of US Physicalrapy on the next trading day is expected to be 79.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.25.

US Physicalrapy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 81.33  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of US Physicalrapy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in USPH Stock please use our How to Invest in US Physicalrapy guide.The US Physicalrapy's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 88.66, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 5.55. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 13 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 19.8 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 USPH Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast US Physicalrapy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in US Physicalrapy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for US Physicalrapy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current US Physicalrapy's open interest, investors have to compare it to US Physicalrapy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of US Physicalrapy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in USPH. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

US Physicalrapy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine USPH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for USPH using various technical indicators. When you analyze USPH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

US Physicalrapy Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the US Physicalrapy's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1991-12-31
Previous Quarter
34.1 M
Current Value
31.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
28.2 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for US Physicalrapy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of US Physicalrapy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

US Physicalrapy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of US Physicalrapy on the next trading day is expected to be 79.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.99, mean absolute percentage error of 6.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict USPH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that US Physicalrapy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

US Physicalrapy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest US PhysicalrapyUS Physicalrapy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

US Physicalrapy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting US Physicalrapy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. US Physicalrapy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.04 and 82.12, respectively. We have considered US Physicalrapy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
81.25
79.58
Expected Value
82.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of US Physicalrapy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent US Physicalrapy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9711
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.9877
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0248
SAESum of the absolute errors121.2518
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of US Physicalrapy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict US Physicalrapy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for US Physicalrapy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Physicalrapy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.7981.3383.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.1393.0695.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
77.0781.4685.84
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
95.85105.33116.92
Details

Other Forecasting Options for US Physicalrapy

For every potential investor in USPH, whether a beginner or expert, US Physicalrapy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. USPH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in USPH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying US Physicalrapy's price trends.

US Physicalrapy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with US Physicalrapy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of US Physicalrapy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing US Physicalrapy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

US Physicalrapy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of US Physicalrapy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of US Physicalrapy's current price.

US Physicalrapy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how US Physicalrapy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading US Physicalrapy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying US Physicalrapy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify US Physicalrapy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

US Physicalrapy Risk Indicators

The analysis of US Physicalrapy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in US Physicalrapy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting usph stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether US Physicalrapy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of US Physicalrapy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Us Physicalrapy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Us Physicalrapy Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of US Physicalrapy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in USPH Stock please use our How to Invest in US Physicalrapy guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of US Physicalrapy. If investors know USPH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about US Physicalrapy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.236
Dividend Share
1.79
Earnings Share
2.53
Revenue Per Share
49.547
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.173
The market value of US Physicalrapy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USPH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of US Physicalrapy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is US Physicalrapy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because US Physicalrapy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect US Physicalrapy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between US Physicalrapy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US Physicalrapy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US Physicalrapy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.