UWM Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

UWMC Stock  USD 6.42  0.27  4.39%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of UWM Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.18. UWM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast UWM Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of UWM Holdings Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of UWM Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of November 25, 2024, Inventory Turnover is expected to decline to -46.27. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 1.07. As of November 25, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 78.8 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 45.6 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through UWM Holdings price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

UWM Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of UWM Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict UWM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that UWM Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

UWM Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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UWM Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting UWM Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. UWM Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.40 and 7.72, respectively. We have considered UWM Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.42
5.56
Expected Value
7.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of UWM Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent UWM Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.4109
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2161
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.03
SAESum of the absolute errors13.1837
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as UWM Holdings Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for UWM Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UWM Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.956.118.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.206.368.52
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.365.896.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for UWM Holdings

For every potential investor in UWM, whether a beginner or expert, UWM Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UWM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UWM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UWM Holdings' price trends.

UWM Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with UWM Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of UWM Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UWM Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

UWM Holdings Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of UWM Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of UWM Holdings' current price.

UWM Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how UWM Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading UWM Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying UWM Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify UWM Holdings Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

UWM Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of UWM Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UWM Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting uwm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether UWM Holdings Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of UWM Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Uwm Holdings Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Uwm Holdings Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UWM Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UWM Holdings. If investors know UWM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UWM Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.62)
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
(0.23)
Revenue Per Share
28.467
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.665
The market value of UWM Holdings Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UWM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UWM Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UWM Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UWM Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UWM Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UWM Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UWM Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UWM Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.