Vanguard Consumer Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VDC Etf | USD 210.90 0.34 0.16% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vanguard Consumer Staples on the next trading day is expected to be 210.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.24. Vanguard Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vanguard Consumer stock prices and determine the direction of Vanguard Consumer Staples's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vanguard Consumer's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Vanguard Consumer's share price is below 20 . This entails that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vanguard Consumer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vanguard Consumer Staples from the perspective of Vanguard Consumer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vanguard Consumer using Vanguard Consumer's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vanguard using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vanguard Consumer's stock price.
Vanguard Consumer Implied Volatility | 0.26 |
Vanguard Consumer's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vanguard Consumer Staples stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vanguard Consumer's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vanguard Consumer stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vanguard Consumer's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vanguard Consumer Staples on the next trading day is expected to be 210.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.24. Vanguard Consumer after-hype prediction price | USD 210.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Vanguard Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vanguard Consumer's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vanguard Consumer's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vanguard Consumer stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vanguard Consumer's open interest, investors have to compare it to Vanguard Consumer's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vanguard Consumer is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vanguard. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Vanguard Consumer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vanguard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vanguard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vanguard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vanguard Consumer Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vanguard Consumer Staples on the next trading day is expected to be 210.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10, mean absolute percentage error of 2.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vanguard Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vanguard Consumer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vanguard Consumer Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vanguard Consumer | Vanguard Consumer Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Vanguard Consumer Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vanguard Consumer's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vanguard Consumer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 210.22 and 211.58, respectively. We have considered Vanguard Consumer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vanguard Consumer etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vanguard Consumer etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8098 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0157 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1023 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0052 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 67.24 |
Predictive Modules for Vanguard Consumer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Consumer Staples. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Consumer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Vanguard Consumer
For every potential investor in Vanguard, whether a beginner or expert, Vanguard Consumer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vanguard Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vanguard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vanguard Consumer's price trends.Vanguard Consumer Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vanguard Consumer etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vanguard Consumer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard Consumer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vanguard Consumer Staples Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vanguard Consumer's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vanguard Consumer's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vanguard Consumer Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vanguard Consumer etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vanguard Consumer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vanguard Consumer etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Vanguard Consumer Staples entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1392.83 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.20) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 210.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 210.89 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.34) |
Vanguard Consumer Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vanguard Consumer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vanguard Consumer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vanguard etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5153 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6681 | |||
| Variance | 0.4463 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vanguard Consumer to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
The market value of Vanguard Consumer Staples is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Consumer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Consumer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Consumer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Consumer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Consumer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Consumer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Consumer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.