VEON Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VEON Stock | USD 54.04 1.24 2.24% |
VEON Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of VEON's share price is at 56. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling VEON, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VEON hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VEON from the perspective of VEON response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VEON on the next trading day is expected to be 54.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.45. VEON after-hype prediction price | USD 54.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VEON to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in VEON Stock, please use our How to Invest in VEON guide.VEON Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VEON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VEON using various technical indicators. When you analyze VEON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VEON Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VEON on the next trading day is expected to be 54.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74, mean absolute percentage error of 1.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VEON Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VEON's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VEON Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VEON | VEON Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
VEON Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VEON's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VEON's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.46 and 56.78, respectively. We have considered VEON's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VEON stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VEON stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.645 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1115 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7409 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0147 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.4538 |
Predictive Modules for VEON
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VEON. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VEON After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VEON at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VEON or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VEON, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VEON Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VEON's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VEON's historical news coverage. VEON's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.38 and 56.70, respectively. We have considered VEON's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VEON is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VEON is based on 3 months time horizon.
VEON Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VEON is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VEON backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VEON, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.66 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
54.04 | 54.04 | 0.00 |
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VEON Hype Timeline
VEON is at this time traded for 54.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.07. VEON is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on VEON is about 554.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.97. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of VEON was at this time reported as 23.95. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.56. VEON last dividend was issued on the 26th of February 2020. The entity had 1:25 split on the 8th of March 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VEON to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in VEON Stock, please use our How to Invest in VEON guide.VEON Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VEON's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VEON's future price movements. Getting to know how VEON's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VEON may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for VEON
For every potential investor in VEON, whether a beginner or expert, VEON's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VEON Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VEON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VEON's price trends.View VEON Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VEON Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VEON stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VEON shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VEON stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VEON entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VEON Risk Indicators
The analysis of VEON's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VEON's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting veon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Variance | 7.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VEON
The number of cover stories for VEON depends on current market conditions and VEON's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VEON is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VEON's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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VEON Short Properties
VEON's future price predictability will typically decrease when VEON's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VEON often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VEON's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VEON's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VEON to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in VEON Stock, please use our How to Invest in VEON guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VEON. If investors know VEON will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VEON listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of VEON is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VEON that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VEON's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VEON's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VEON's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VEON's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VEON's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VEON is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VEON's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.