Valhi Stock Forward View
| VHI Stock | USD 15.60 0.09 0.58% |
Valhi Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Valhi's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Valhi's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.96) | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.47 | Wall Street Target Price 12 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Valhi hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Valhi Inc from the perspective of Valhi response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Valhi Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Valhi Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 15.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.54.Valhi Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Valhi's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Valhi. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Valhi can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Valhi Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Valhi's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Valhi.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Valhi Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 15.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.54. Valhi after-hype prediction price | USD 15.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Valhi to cross-verify your projections. Valhi Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Valhi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Valhi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Valhi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Valhi Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Valhi's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1987-12-31 | Previous Quarter 188.5 M | Current Value 183.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 172.3 M |
Valhi Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Valhi Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 15.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Valhi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Valhi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Valhi Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Valhi | Valhi Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Valhi Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Valhi's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Valhi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.31 and 19.07, respectively. We have considered Valhi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Valhi stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Valhi stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.4943 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.428 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0327 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.5378 |
Predictive Modules for Valhi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Valhi Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Valhi After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Valhi at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Valhi or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Valhi, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Valhi Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Valhi's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Valhi's historical news coverage. Valhi's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.72 and 19.40, respectively. We have considered Valhi's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Valhi is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Valhi Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Valhi Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Valhi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valhi backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Valhi, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 3.88 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.60 | 15.56 | 0.32 |
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Valhi Hype Timeline
On the 10th of February Valhi Inc is traded for 15.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Valhi is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 15.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Valhi is about 1616.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.69. About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.42. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Valhi Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.32. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The firm had 1:12 split on the 2nd of June 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Valhi to cross-verify your projections.Valhi Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Valhi's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Valhi's future price movements. Getting to know how Valhi's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Valhi may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RYAM | Rayonier Advanced Materials | 0.21 | 2 per month | 2.75 | 0.07 | 6.38 | (5.15) | 28.05 | |
| HDSN | Hudson Technologies | 0.05 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.93 | (4.72) | 24.01 | |
| ADUR | Aduro Clean Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 12.11 | (7.33) | 26.37 | |
| ASIX | AdvanSix | (0.31) | 7 per month | 3.73 | 0.0001 | 5.26 | (4.88) | 16.84 | |
| NMG | Nouveau Monde Graphite | 0.11 | 8 per month | 5.62 | (0.01) | 8.61 | (10.70) | 29.51 | |
| TROX | Tronox Holdings PLC | 0.13 | 7 per month | 3.01 | 0.24 | 9.43 | (6.04) | 34.47 | |
| ZEUS | Olympic Steel | 0.94 | 7 per month | 1.68 | 0.21 | 4.51 | (2.92) | 10.97 | |
| LZM | Lifezone Metals Limited | (0.03) | 8 per month | 3.42 | 0.07 | 7.99 | (5.63) | 21.24 | |
| NEWP | New Pacific Metals | 0.39 | 9 per month | 4.31 | 0.17 | 12.24 | (7.73) | 28.62 | |
| IPI | Intrepid Potash | 0.91 | 12 per month | 2.81 | 0.12 | 6.26 | (4.73) | 15.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for Valhi
For every potential investor in Valhi, whether a beginner or expert, Valhi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Valhi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Valhi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Valhi's price trends.Valhi Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Valhi stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Valhi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valhi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Valhi Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Valhi stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Valhi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Valhi stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Valhi Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 405.09 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1765 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.65 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.09 |
Valhi Risk Indicators
The analysis of Valhi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Valhi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting valhi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.99 | |||
| Variance | 15.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Valhi
The number of cover stories for Valhi depends on current market conditions and Valhi's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Valhi is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Valhi's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Valhi Short Properties
Valhi's future price predictability will typically decrease when Valhi's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Valhi Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Valhi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Valhi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 350.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Valhi to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is there potential for Specialty Chemicals market expansion? Will Valhi introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valhi. If investors know Valhi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Valhi listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.96) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 0.65 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Valhi Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valhi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valhi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valhi's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Valhi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valhi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valhi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valhi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Valhi's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.