Virtu Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

VIRT Stock  USD 35.18  1.13  3.32%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Virtu Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 33.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.24. Virtu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Virtu Financial's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Virtu Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Virtu Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Virtu Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.338
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.0052
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.1027
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.4432
Wall Street Target Price
42.1429
Using Virtu Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Virtu Financial from the perspective of Virtu Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Virtu Financial using Virtu Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Virtu using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Virtu Financial's stock price.

Virtu Financial Short Interest

An investor who is long Virtu Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Virtu Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Virtu Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
38.2995
Short Percent
0.0525
Short Ratio
4.74
Shares Short Prior Month
2.5 M
50 Day MA
34.362

Virtu Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Virtu Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Virtu. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Virtu can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Virtu Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Virtu Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Virtu Financial.

Virtu Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.47  
Virtu Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Virtu Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Virtu Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Virtu Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Virtu Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Virtu Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 33.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.24.

Virtu Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtu Financial to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Virtu Stock please use our How to Invest in Virtu Financial guide.Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 14.37 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 0.54 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 79.1 M in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 225.6 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Virtu Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Virtu Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Virtu Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Virtu Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Virtu Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Virtu Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Virtu Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Virtu. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Virtu Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Virtu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virtu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virtu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Virtu Financial price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Virtu Financial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Virtu Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 33.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 0.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Virtu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Virtu Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Virtu Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Virtu Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Virtu Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Virtu Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.47 and 35.42, respectively. We have considered Virtu Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.18
33.95
Expected Value
35.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Virtu Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Virtu Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.805
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7088
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0207
SAESum of the absolute errors43.2393
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Virtu Financial historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Virtu Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtu Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.3535.8337.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.2138.9240.40
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
38.3542.1446.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.251.221.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Virtu Financial

For every potential investor in Virtu, whether a beginner or expert, Virtu Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Virtu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Virtu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Virtu Financial's price trends.

Virtu Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Virtu Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Virtu Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virtu Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Virtu Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Virtu Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Virtu Financial's current price.

Virtu Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Virtu Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Virtu Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Virtu Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Virtu Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Virtu Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Virtu Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Virtu Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting virtu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Virtu Stock Analysis

When running Virtu Financial's price analysis, check to measure Virtu Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virtu Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Virtu Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virtu Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virtu Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virtu Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.