Viper Energy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VNOM Stock  USD 36.54  0.24  0.66%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Viper Energy Ut on the next trading day is expected to be 36.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.80. Viper Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Viper Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Viper Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Viper Energy fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of relative strength index of Viper Energy's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Viper Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Viper Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Viper Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Viper Energy Ut, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Viper Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3658
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.6838
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.561
Wall Street Target Price
50.6111
Using Viper Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Viper Energy Ut from the perspective of Viper Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Viper Energy using Viper Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Viper using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Viper Energy's stock price.

Viper Energy Short Interest

An investor who is long Viper Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Viper Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Viper Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
38.8918
Short Percent
0.1249
Short Ratio
6.47
Shares Short Prior Month
10.5 M
50 Day MA
37.906

Viper Energy Ut Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Viper Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Viper. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Viper can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Viper Energy Ut. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Viper Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Viper Energy.

Viper Energy Implied Volatility

    
  0.43  
Viper Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Viper Energy Ut stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Viper Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Viper Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Viper Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Viper Energy Ut on the next trading day is expected to be 36.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.80.

Viper Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Viper Energy to cross-verify your projections.
As of the 10th of January 2026, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 7.57, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 2,404. . As of the 10th of January 2026, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 183.1 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 62.3 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Viper Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Viper Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Viper Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Viper Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Viper Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Viper Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Viper Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Viper. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Viper Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Viper price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Viper using various technical indicators. When you analyze Viper charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Viper Energy Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Viper Energy's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2013-12-31
Previous Quarter
443 M
Current Value
53 M
Quarterly Volatility
102.2 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Viper Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Viper Energy Ut value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Viper Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Viper Energy Ut on the next trading day is expected to be 36.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 0.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Viper Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Viper Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Viper Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Viper EnergyViper Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Viper Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Viper Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Viper Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.41 and 37.78, respectively. We have considered Viper Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.54
36.09
Expected Value
37.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Viper Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Viper Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.6312
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7065
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0187
SAESum of the absolute errors43.8039
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Viper Energy Ut. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Viper Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Viper Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Viper Energy Ut. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.6236.3037.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.6743.1944.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
34.9738.1141.26
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.0650.6156.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Viper Energy

For every potential investor in Viper, whether a beginner or expert, Viper Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Viper Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Viper. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Viper Energy's price trends.

Viper Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Viper Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Viper Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Viper Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Viper Energy Ut Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Viper Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Viper Energy's current price.

Viper Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Viper Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Viper Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Viper Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Viper Energy Ut entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Viper Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Viper Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Viper Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting viper stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Viper Energy Ut is a strong investment it is important to analyze Viper Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Viper Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Viper Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Viper Energy to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Viper Energy. If investors know Viper will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Viper Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
Dividend Share
2.33
Earnings Share
2.43
Revenue Per Share
8.973
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.9
The market value of Viper Energy Ut is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Viper that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Viper Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Viper Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Viper Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Viper Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Viper Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Viper Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Viper Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.