Vontier Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VNT Stock | USD 36.87 0.69 1.84% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vontier Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 36.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.37. Vontier Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Vontier Corp's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.167 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8586 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.1853 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.415 | Wall Street Target Price 46.2255 |
Using Vontier Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vontier Corp from the perspective of Vontier Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vontier Corp using Vontier Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vontier using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vontier Corp's stock price.
Vontier Corp Short Interest
An investor who is long Vontier Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Vontier Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Vontier Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 38.0545 | Short Percent 0.0496 | Short Ratio 4.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.5 M | 50 Day MA 36.9502 |
Vontier Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Vontier Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vontier. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vontier can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vontier Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Vontier Corp Implied Volatility | 0.56 |
Vontier Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vontier Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vontier Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vontier Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vontier Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vontier Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 36.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.37. Vontier Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 36.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vontier Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vontier contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vontier Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Vontier Corp trading at USD 36.87, that is roughly USD 0.0129 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vontier Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vontier Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Vontier Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vontier Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vontier Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vontier Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vontier Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Vontier Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vontier Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vontier. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Vontier Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vontier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vontier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vontier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vontier Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vontier Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 36.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vontier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vontier Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vontier Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vontier Corp | Vontier Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Vontier Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vontier Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vontier Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.94 and 38.80, respectively. We have considered Vontier Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vontier Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vontier Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7886 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0968 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4562 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0123 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.37 |
Predictive Modules for Vontier Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vontier Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vontier Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vontier Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vontier Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vontier Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vontier Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vontier Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vontier Corp's historical news coverage. Vontier Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.91 and 38.77, respectively. We have considered Vontier Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vontier Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vontier Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vontier Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vontier Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vontier Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vontier Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.93 | 0.03 | 0.16 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.87 | 36.84 | 0.08 |
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Vontier Corp Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Vontier Corp is traded for 36.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. Vontier is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Vontier Corp is about 276.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.71. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Vontier Corp was at this time reported as 8.47. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.12. Vontier Corp last dividend was issued on the 20th of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vontier Corp to cross-verify your projections.Vontier Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vontier Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vontier Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Vontier Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vontier Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BMI | Badger Meter | (3.17) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.78 | (3.45) | 14.11 | |
| ITRI | Itron Inc | 1.48 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.51 | (4.16) | 24.28 | |
| ESE | ESCO Technologies | 1.49 | 10 per month | 1.74 | (0.02) | 2.54 | (3.16) | 7.84 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | (4.08) | 16 per month | 2.35 | 0.03 | 4.86 | (3.74) | 20.11 | |
| LFUS | Littelfuse | 3.08 | 9 per month | 1.99 | 0.03 | 3.65 | (3.64) | 8.44 | |
| INGM | Ingram Micro Holding | (0.31) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.53 | (3.62) | 9.36 | |
| ARW | Arrow Electronics | (0.14) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.33 | (2.50) | 7.89 | |
| NOVT | Novanta | (3.36) | 22 per month | 3.94 | 0.09 | 7.35 | (4.57) | 27.31 | |
| WEX | Wex Inc | (1.72) | 9 per month | 1.65 | 0 | 3.31 | (2.82) | 8.14 | |
| CWAN | Clearwater Analytics Holdings | (0.26) | 4 per month | 2.02 | 0.12 | 4.31 | (3.95) | 14.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vontier Corp
For every potential investor in Vontier, whether a beginner or expert, Vontier Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vontier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vontier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vontier Corp's price trends.Vontier Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vontier Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vontier Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vontier Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vontier Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vontier Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vontier Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vontier Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vontier Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vontier Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vontier Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vontier Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vontier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Variance | 3.63 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vontier Corp
The number of cover stories for Vontier Corp depends on current market conditions and Vontier Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vontier Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vontier Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vontier Corp Short Properties
Vontier Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vontier Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vontier Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vontier Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vontier Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 356.4 M |
Additional Tools for Vontier Stock Analysis
When running Vontier Corp's price analysis, check to measure Vontier Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vontier Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Vontier Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vontier Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vontier Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vontier Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.