Verra Mobility Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

VRRM Stock  USD 23.19  0.24  1.05%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Verra Mobility Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.94. Verra Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Verra Mobility's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Verra Mobility's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Verra Mobility fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength indicator of Verra Mobility's share price is at 56. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Verra Mobility, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Verra Mobility's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Verra Mobility and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Verra Mobility's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Verra Mobility Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Verra Mobility's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.381
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3363
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.3308
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.357
Wall Street Target Price
29.3333
Using Verra Mobility hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verra Mobility Corp from the perspective of Verra Mobility response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Verra Mobility using Verra Mobility's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Verra using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Verra Mobility's stock price.

Verra Mobility Short Interest

An investor who is long Verra Mobility may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Verra Mobility and may potentially protect profits, hedge Verra Mobility with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
23.5279
Short Percent
0.0287
Short Ratio
2.18
Shares Short Prior Month
3.7 M
50 Day MA
22.3321

Verra Mobility Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Verra Mobility's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Verra. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Verra can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Verra Mobility Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Verra Mobility's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Verra Mobility.

Verra Mobility Implied Volatility

    
  0.47  
Verra Mobility's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Verra Mobility Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Verra Mobility's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Verra Mobility stock will not fluctuate a lot when Verra Mobility's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Verra Mobility Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.94.

Verra Mobility after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Verra Mobility to cross-verify your projections.
As of the 9th of January 2026, Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to 1.34. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 0.23. As of the 9th of January 2026, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 111.7 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 130.6 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Verra Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Verra Mobility's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Verra Mobility's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Verra Mobility stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Verra Mobility's open interest, investors have to compare it to Verra Mobility's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Verra Mobility is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Verra. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Verra Mobility Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Verra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Verra Mobility is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Verra Mobility Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Verra Mobility Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Verra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Verra Mobility's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Verra Mobility Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Verra MobilityVerra Mobility Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Verra Mobility Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Verra Mobility's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Verra Mobility's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.83 and 24.55, respectively. We have considered Verra Mobility's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.19
23.19
Expected Value
24.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Verra Mobility stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Verra Mobility stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.075
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0242
MADMean absolute deviation0.249
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0111
SAESum of the absolute errors14.94
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Verra Mobility Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Verra Mobility. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Verra Mobility

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verra Mobility Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.8423.1924.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.6623.0124.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.9922.1123.24
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.6929.3332.56
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Verra Mobility

For every potential investor in Verra, whether a beginner or expert, Verra Mobility's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Verra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Verra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Verra Mobility's price trends.

Verra Mobility Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Verra Mobility stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Verra Mobility could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Verra Mobility by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Verra Mobility Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Verra Mobility's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Verra Mobility's current price.

Verra Mobility Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Verra Mobility stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Verra Mobility shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Verra Mobility stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Verra Mobility Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Verra Mobility Risk Indicators

The analysis of Verra Mobility's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Verra Mobility's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting verra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Verra Mobility Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Verra Mobility's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Verra Mobility's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Verra Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Verra Mobility to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verra Mobility. If investors know Verra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verra Mobility listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.381
Earnings Share
0.34
Revenue Per Share
5.874
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.161
Return On Assets
0.0858
The market value of Verra Mobility Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verra Mobility's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verra Mobility's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verra Mobility's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verra Mobility's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verra Mobility's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verra Mobility is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verra Mobility's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.