Vishay Intertechnology Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VSH Stock | USD 18.48 0.45 2.50% |
Vishay Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vishay Intertechnology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Vishay Intertechnology's stock price is under 60. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 28th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vishay, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0709 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.02) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7533 | Wall Street Target Price 15 |
Using Vishay Intertechnology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vishay Intertechnology from the perspective of Vishay Intertechnology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vishay Intertechnology using Vishay Intertechnology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vishay using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vishay Intertechnology's stock price.
Vishay Intertechnology Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Vishay Intertechnology's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Vishay. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Vishay Intertechnology stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 15.1739 | Short Percent 0.1223 | Short Ratio 7.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.9 M | 50 Day MA 15.0966 |
Vishay Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vishay Intertechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 19.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.25.Vishay Intertechnology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Vishay Intertechnology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vishay. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vishay can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vishay Intertechnology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vishay Intertechnology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vishay Intertechnology.
Vishay Intertechnology Implied Volatility | 0.86 |
Vishay Intertechnology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vishay Intertechnology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vishay Intertechnology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vishay Intertechnology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vishay Intertechnology's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vishay Intertechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 19.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.25. Vishay Intertechnology after-hype prediction price | USD 18.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vishay Intertechnology to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vishay contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vishay Intertechnology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0538% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Vishay Intertechnology trading at USD 18.48, that is roughly USD 0.009933 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vishay Intertechnology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vishay Intertechnology options at the current volatility level of 0.86%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Vishay Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vishay Intertechnology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vishay Intertechnology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vishay Intertechnology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vishay Intertechnology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Vishay Intertechnology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vishay Intertechnology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vishay. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Vishay Intertechnology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vishay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vishay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vishay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vishay Intertechnology Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Vishay Intertechnology's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1986-06-30 | Previous Quarter 473.9 M | Current Value 443.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 297.9 M |
Vishay Intertechnology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vishay Intertechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 19.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vishay Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vishay Intertechnology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vishay Intertechnology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vishay Intertechnology | Vishay Intertechnology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Vishay Intertechnology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vishay Intertechnology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vishay Intertechnology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.34 and 22.34, respectively. We have considered Vishay Intertechnology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vishay Intertechnology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vishay Intertechnology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.1561 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5686 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0379 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.2513 |
Predictive Modules for Vishay Intertechnology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vishay Intertechnology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vishay Intertechnology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vishay Intertechnology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vishay Intertechnology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vishay Intertechnology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vishay Intertechnology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vishay Intertechnology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vishay Intertechnology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vishay Intertechnology's historical news coverage. Vishay Intertechnology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.50 and 21.46, respectively. We have considered Vishay Intertechnology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vishay Intertechnology is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vishay Intertechnology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vishay Intertechnology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vishay Intertechnology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vishay Intertechnology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vishay Intertechnology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 3.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.48 | 18.48 | 0.00 |
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Vishay Intertechnology Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Vishay Intertechnology is traded for 18.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Vishay is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vishay Intertechnology is about 13043.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.48. About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.17. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vishay Intertechnology has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.75. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.56. The firm last dividend was issued on the 3rd of December 2025. Vishay Intertechnology had 3:2 split on the 12th of June 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vishay Intertechnology to cross-verify your projections.Vishay Intertechnology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vishay Intertechnology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vishay Intertechnology's future price movements. Getting to know how Vishay Intertechnology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vishay Intertechnology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STEC | Santech Holdings Limited | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.21 | 59.38 | (10.98) | 30,613 | |
| DTSS | Datasea | (0.04) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 14.63 | (12.60) | 31.30 | |
| AMST | Amesite Operating Co | (0.22) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.82 | (8.49) | 30.71 | |
| ELSE | Electro Sensors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.85 | (3.96) | 9.10 | |
| SMSI | Smith Micro Software | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.56 | (6.35) | 19.70 | |
| SONM | Sonim Technologies | 0.19 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 15.25 | (13.45) | 35.76 | |
| GLE | Global Engine Group | (0.04) | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 11.63 | (10.20) | 53.24 | |
| TGHL | The GrowHub Limited | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 10.53 | (8.11) | 28.46 | |
| BLIN | Bridgeline Digital | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.10 | (7.78) | 22.82 | |
| SYNX | Silynxcom | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 14.44 | (12.12) | 34.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vishay Intertechnology
For every potential investor in Vishay, whether a beginner or expert, Vishay Intertechnology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vishay Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vishay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vishay Intertechnology's price trends.Vishay Intertechnology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vishay Intertechnology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vishay Intertechnology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vishay Intertechnology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vishay Intertechnology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vishay Intertechnology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vishay Intertechnology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vishay Intertechnology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vishay Intertechnology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vishay Intertechnology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vishay Intertechnology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vishay Intertechnology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vishay stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Variance | 8.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vishay Intertechnology
The number of cover stories for Vishay Intertechnology depends on current market conditions and Vishay Intertechnology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vishay Intertechnology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vishay Intertechnology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vishay Intertechnology Short Properties
Vishay Intertechnology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vishay Intertechnology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vishay Intertechnology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vishay Intertechnology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vishay Intertechnology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 137 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 606.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vishay Intertechnology to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Vishay Stock please use our How to Invest in Vishay Intertechnology guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vishay Intertechnology. If investors know Vishay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vishay Intertechnology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share (0.56) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.075 |
The market value of Vishay Intertechnology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vishay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vishay Intertechnology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vishay Intertechnology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vishay Intertechnology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vishay Intertechnology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vishay Intertechnology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vishay Intertechnology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vishay Intertechnology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.