Vishay Intertechnology Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VSH Stock | USD 20.03 0.38 1.93% |
Vishay Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Vishay Intertechnology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Vishay Intertechnology's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.105 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3809 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9501 | Wall Street Target Price 18 |
Using Vishay Intertechnology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vishay Intertechnology from the perspective of Vishay Intertechnology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vishay Intertechnology using Vishay Intertechnology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vishay using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vishay Intertechnology's stock price.
Vishay Intertechnology Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Vishay Intertechnology's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Vishay. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Vishay Intertechnology stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 15.5059 | Short Percent 0.1282 | Short Ratio 8.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 11.5 M | 50 Day MA 16.1546 |
Vishay Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vishay Intertechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 20.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.25.Vishay Intertechnology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Vishay Intertechnology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vishay. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vishay can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vishay Intertechnology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vishay Intertechnology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vishay Intertechnology.
Vishay Intertechnology Implied Volatility | 1.21 |
Vishay Intertechnology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vishay Intertechnology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vishay Intertechnology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vishay Intertechnology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vishay Intertechnology's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vishay Intertechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 20.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.25. Vishay Intertechnology after-hype prediction price | USD 19.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vishay Intertechnology to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vishay contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vishay Intertechnology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0756% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Vishay Intertechnology trading at USD 20.03, that is roughly USD 0.0151 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vishay Intertechnology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vishay Intertechnology options at the current volatility level of 1.21%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Vishay Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vishay Intertechnology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vishay Intertechnology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vishay Intertechnology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vishay Intertechnology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Vishay Intertechnology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vishay Intertechnology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vishay. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Vishay Intertechnology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vishay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vishay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vishay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vishay Intertechnology Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vishay Intertechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 20.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vishay Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vishay Intertechnology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vishay Intertechnology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vishay Intertechnology | Vishay Intertechnology Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Vishay Intertechnology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vishay Intertechnology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vishay Intertechnology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.09 and 22.97, respectively. We have considered Vishay Intertechnology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vishay Intertechnology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vishay Intertechnology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7645 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0908 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3542 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0222 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.25 |
Predictive Modules for Vishay Intertechnology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vishay Intertechnology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vishay Intertechnology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vishay Intertechnology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vishay Intertechnology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vishay Intertechnology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vishay Intertechnology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vishay Intertechnology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vishay Intertechnology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vishay Intertechnology's historical news coverage. Vishay Intertechnology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.80 and 22.68, respectively. We have considered Vishay Intertechnology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vishay Intertechnology is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vishay Intertechnology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vishay Intertechnology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vishay Intertechnology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vishay Intertechnology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vishay Intertechnology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 2.94 | 0.29 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.03 | 19.74 | 1.45 |
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Vishay Intertechnology Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Vishay Intertechnology is traded for 20.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Vishay is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.45%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Vishay Intertechnology is about 10500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.01. About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.29. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vishay Intertechnology has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.75. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.07. The firm last dividend was issued on the 3rd of December 2025. Vishay Intertechnology had 3:2 split on the 12th of June 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vishay Intertechnology to cross-verify your projections.Vishay Intertechnology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vishay Intertechnology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vishay Intertechnology's future price movements. Getting to know how Vishay Intertechnology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vishay Intertechnology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| POWI | Power Integrations | (0.82) | 10 per month | 2.58 | 0.07 | 4.95 | (3.75) | 10.65 | |
| DQ | Daqo New Energy | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.54 | (6.41) | 20.89 | |
| DIOD | Diodes Incorporated | 1.09 | 8 per month | 2.89 | 0.06 | 5.26 | (3.76) | 17.49 | |
| AAOI | Applied Opt | (1.06) | 10 per month | 7.09 | 0.05 | 13.60 | (12.51) | 38.33 | |
| NVTS | Navitas Semiconductor Corp | (0.43) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 12.60 | (9.92) | 32.37 | |
| WBTN | WEBTOON Entertainment Common | 0.35 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.36 | (4.43) | 27.89 | |
| ACLS | Axcelis Technologies | 2.91 | 12 per month | 2.84 | 0.01 | 5.46 | (4.79) | 12.52 | |
| KLIC | Kulicke and Soffa | (0.07) | 11 per month | 1.50 | 0.22 | 6.12 | (3.29) | 13.91 | |
| ACMR | Acm Research | (1.97) | 8 per month | 4.67 | 0.10 | 6.59 | (5.81) | 21.49 | |
| AI | C3 Ai Inc | (0.25) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 4.45 | (6.63) | 16.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vishay Intertechnology
For every potential investor in Vishay, whether a beginner or expert, Vishay Intertechnology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vishay Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vishay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vishay Intertechnology's price trends.Vishay Intertechnology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vishay Intertechnology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vishay Intertechnology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vishay Intertechnology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vishay Intertechnology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vishay Intertechnology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vishay Intertechnology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vishay Intertechnology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vishay Intertechnology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vishay Intertechnology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vishay Intertechnology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vishay Intertechnology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vishay stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.02 | |||
| Variance | 9.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vishay Intertechnology
The number of cover stories for Vishay Intertechnology depends on current market conditions and Vishay Intertechnology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vishay Intertechnology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vishay Intertechnology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vishay Intertechnology to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Vishay Stock please use our How to Invest in Vishay Intertechnology guide.You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is there potential for Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components market expansion? Will Vishay introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vishay Intertechnology. If investors know Vishay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Vishay Intertechnology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share (0.07) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.121 |
Investors evaluate Vishay Intertechnology using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Vishay Intertechnology's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Vishay Intertechnology's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vishay Intertechnology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vishay Intertechnology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Vishay Intertechnology's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.