Waterdrop ADR Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| WDH Stock | USD 1.65 0.04 2.37% |
Waterdrop Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Waterdrop ADR's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the relative strength indicator of Waterdrop ADR's share price is approaching 42. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Waterdrop ADR, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.465 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.27 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0861 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.131 | Wall Street Target Price 2.2732 |
Using Waterdrop ADR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Waterdrop ADR from the perspective of Waterdrop ADR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Waterdrop Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Waterdrop ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 1.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.16.Waterdrop ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Waterdrop ADR's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Waterdrop. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Waterdrop can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Waterdrop ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Waterdrop ADR's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Waterdrop ADR.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Waterdrop ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 1.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.16. Waterdrop ADR after-hype prediction price | USD 1.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Waterdrop | Build AI portfolio with Waterdrop Stock |
Waterdrop ADR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Waterdrop price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Waterdrop using various technical indicators. When you analyze Waterdrop charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Waterdrop ADR Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Waterdrop ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 1.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Waterdrop Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Waterdrop ADR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Waterdrop ADR Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Waterdrop ADR | Waterdrop ADR Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Waterdrop ADR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Waterdrop ADR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Waterdrop ADR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.52, respectively. We have considered Waterdrop ADR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Waterdrop ADR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Waterdrop ADR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0098 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0366 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0207 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.16 |
Predictive Modules for Waterdrop ADR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Waterdrop ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Waterdrop ADR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Waterdrop ADR After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Waterdrop ADR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Waterdrop ADR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Waterdrop ADR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Waterdrop ADR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Waterdrop ADR's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Waterdrop ADR's historical news coverage. Waterdrop ADR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 4.53, respectively. We have considered Waterdrop ADR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Waterdrop ADR is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Waterdrop ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Waterdrop ADR Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Waterdrop ADR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Waterdrop ADR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Waterdrop ADR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.88 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 5 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.65 | 1.65 | 0.00 |
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Waterdrop ADR Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Waterdrop ADR is traded for 1.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Waterdrop is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Waterdrop ADR is about 738.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.67. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.85. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Waterdrop ADR last dividend was issued on the 10th of October 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Waterdrop ADR to cross-verify your projections.Waterdrop ADR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Waterdrop ADR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Waterdrop ADR's future price movements. Getting to know how Waterdrop ADR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Waterdrop ADR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AAME | Atlantic American | 0.08 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.88 | (7.80) | 39.81 | |
| CASH | Meta Financial Group | 2.93 | 9 per month | 1.01 | 0.17 | 3.80 | (1.75) | 7.97 | |
| OAKU | Oak Woods Acquisition | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.61 | (0.02) | 1.08 | (0.82) | 6.66 | |
| CPBI | Central Plains Bancshares | 0.13 | 8 per month | 1.10 | 0.07 | 1.68 | (1.19) | 6.35 | |
| BAYA | Bayview Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.33 | 0.06 | 0.78 | (1.01) | 4.21 | |
| ASRV | AmeriServ Financial | (0.15) | 7 per month | 1.84 | 0.01 | 2.89 | (3.13) | 8.63 | |
| UBCP | United Bancorp | 0.14 | 7 per month | 1.37 | 0.08 | 2.86 | (2.56) | 8.48 | |
| CLST | Catalyst Bancorp | 0.31 | 11 per month | 0.64 | 0.19 | 1.90 | (1.08) | 7.82 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.52 | 7 per month | 3.28 | 0.12 | 6.92 | (3.85) | 21.76 | |
| BOTJ | Bank of the | (0.06) | 7 per month | 1.21 | 0.15 | 2.78 | (2.51) | 9.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Waterdrop ADR
For every potential investor in Waterdrop, whether a beginner or expert, Waterdrop ADR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Waterdrop Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Waterdrop. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Waterdrop ADR's price trends.Waterdrop ADR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Waterdrop ADR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Waterdrop ADR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Waterdrop ADR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Waterdrop ADR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Waterdrop ADR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Waterdrop ADR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Waterdrop ADR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Waterdrop ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Waterdrop ADR Risk Indicators
The analysis of Waterdrop ADR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Waterdrop ADR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting waterdrop stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Variance | 8.05 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Waterdrop ADR
The number of cover stories for Waterdrop ADR depends on current market conditions and Waterdrop ADR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Waterdrop ADR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Waterdrop ADR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Waterdrop ADR Short Properties
Waterdrop ADR's future price predictability will typically decrease when Waterdrop ADR's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Waterdrop ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Waterdrop ADR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Waterdrop ADR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Waterdrop ADR to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Waterdrop Stock please use our How to Invest in Waterdrop ADR guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is there potential for Property & Casualty Insurance market expansion? Will Waterdrop introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Waterdrop ADR. Anticipated expansion of Waterdrop directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Waterdrop ADR listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.465 | Dividend Share 0.36 | Earnings Share 0.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.384 |
Understanding Waterdrop ADR requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Waterdrop's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Waterdrop ADR's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Waterdrop ADR's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Waterdrop ADR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Waterdrop ADR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Waterdrop ADR's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.