WEC Energy Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

WEC Stock  USD 100.96  1.69  1.70%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of WEC Energy Group on the next trading day is expected to be 98.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.02. WEC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast WEC Energy stock prices and determine the direction of WEC Energy Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WEC Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, WEC Energy's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.35, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 3.78. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 1.7 B, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 269.4 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for WEC Energy is based on an artificially constructed time series of WEC Energy daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

WEC Energy 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of WEC Energy Group on the next trading day is expected to be 98.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45, mean absolute percentage error of 3.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WEC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WEC Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WEC Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

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WEC Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WEC Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WEC Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.92 and 99.69, respectively. We have considered WEC Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
100.96
98.80
Expected Value
99.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WEC Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WEC Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.5301
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.5021
MADMean absolute deviation1.4532
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.015
SAESum of the absolute errors77.02
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. WEC Energy Group 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for WEC Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WEC Energy Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WEC Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.08100.96101.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.9887.86111.06
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
82.9591.15101.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.211.511.23
Details

Other Forecasting Options for WEC Energy

For every potential investor in WEC, whether a beginner or expert, WEC Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WEC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WEC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WEC Energy's price trends.

WEC Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WEC Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WEC Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WEC Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WEC Energy Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WEC Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WEC Energy's current price.

WEC Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WEC Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WEC Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WEC Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WEC Energy Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WEC Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of WEC Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WEC Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether WEC Energy Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of WEC Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wec Energy Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Wec Energy Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WEC Energy to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Multi-Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of WEC Energy. If investors know WEC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about WEC Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
Dividend Share
3.285
Earnings Share
4.09
Revenue Per Share
27.023
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of WEC Energy Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WEC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of WEC Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is WEC Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because WEC Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect WEC Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WEC Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WEC Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WEC Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.