WEC Energy Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| WEC Stock | USD 113.68 0.35 0.31% |
WEC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast WEC Energy stock prices and determine the direction of WEC Energy Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of WEC Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of WEC Energy's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.093 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3981 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2445 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5908 | Wall Street Target Price 120.3235 |
Using WEC Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of WEC Energy Group from the perspective of WEC Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards WEC Energy using WEC Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards WEC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of WEC Energy's stock price.
WEC Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in WEC Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards WEC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of WEC Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 108.6265 | Short Percent 0.047 | Short Ratio 7.08 | Shares Short Prior Month 13.2 M | 50 Day MA 107.3578 |
WEC Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WEC Energy Group on the next trading day is expected to be 114.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.86.WEC Energy Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to WEC Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in WEC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding WEC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around WEC Energy Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of WEC Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about WEC Energy.
WEC Energy Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
WEC Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of WEC Energy Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if WEC Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that WEC Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when WEC Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WEC Energy Group on the next trading day is expected to be 114.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.86. WEC Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 113.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WEC Energy to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current WEC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that WEC Energy Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With WEC Energy trading at USD 113.68, that is roughly USD 0.027 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating WEC Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring WEC Energy Group options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 WEC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast WEC Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in WEC Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for WEC Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current WEC Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to WEC Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of WEC Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in WEC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
WEC Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine WEC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for WEC using various technical indicators. When you analyze WEC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
WEC Energy Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WEC Energy Group on the next trading day is expected to be 114.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WEC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WEC Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
WEC Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest WEC Energy | WEC Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
WEC Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting WEC Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WEC Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 113.35 and 114.88, respectively. We have considered WEC Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WEC Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WEC Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1471 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6417 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.006 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.858 |
Predictive Modules for WEC Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WEC Energy Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WEC Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
WEC Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of WEC Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in WEC Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of WEC Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
WEC Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting WEC Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on WEC Energy's historical news coverage. WEC Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 112.57 and 114.11, respectively. We have considered WEC Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
WEC Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of WEC Energy Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
WEC Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as WEC Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading WEC Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with WEC Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.77 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
113.68 | 113.34 | 0.01 |
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WEC Energy Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February WEC Energy Group is traded for 113.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. WEC is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 113.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 110.0%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on WEC Energy is about 1283.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 113.68. The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.6 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.52 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.15 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WEC Energy to cross-verify your projections.WEC Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to WEC Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict WEC Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how WEC Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how WEC Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ED | Consolidated Edison | (0.42) | 11 per month | 0.95 | 0.1 | 1.91 | (1.65) | 4.62 | |
| PCG | PGE Corp | (0.44) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.79 | (2.31) | 6.66 | |
| PEG | Public Service Enterprise | (0.97) | 12 per month | 1.13 | (0.05) | 1.61 | (2.04) | 5.67 | |
| DTE | DTE Energy | 0.08 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.45 | (1.74) | 4.73 | |
| FE | FirstEnergy | (0.21) | 13 per month | 0.91 | (0.05) | 1.35 | (1.30) | 4.05 | |
| AEE | Ameren Corp | 0.85 | 10 per month | 0.96 | (0.03) | 1.23 | (1.45) | 5.74 | |
| ETR | Entergy | 0.94 | 11 per month | 1.10 | (0.03) | 1.90 | (1.73) | 4.90 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | (0.13) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.31 | (1.44) | 5.00 | |
| ES | Eversource Energy | 1.26 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.75 | (1.87) | 14.53 | |
| FTS | Fortis Inc | (0.36) | 9 per month | 0.51 | 0.08 | 1.38 | (1.16) | 2.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for WEC Energy
For every potential investor in WEC, whether a beginner or expert, WEC Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WEC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WEC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WEC Energy's price trends.WEC Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WEC Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WEC Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WEC Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
WEC Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WEC Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WEC Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WEC Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WEC Energy Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
WEC Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of WEC Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WEC Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6303 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7982 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8055 | |||
| Variance | 0.6489 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6853 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6372 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for WEC Energy
The number of cover stories for WEC Energy depends on current market conditions and WEC Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that WEC Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about WEC Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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WEC Energy Short Properties
WEC Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when WEC Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of WEC Energy Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential WEC Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WEC Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 316.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WEC Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Will Multi-Utilities sector continue expanding? Could WEC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of WEC Energy. Anticipated expansion of WEC directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every WEC Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.093 | Dividend Share 3.513 | Earnings Share 5.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.129 |
Investors evaluate WEC Energy Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating WEC Energy's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause WEC Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WEC Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WEC Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, WEC Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.