Welsbach Technology Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

WTMAU Stock  USD 11.27  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Welsbach Technology Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 11.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Welsbach Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Welsbach Technology Metals is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Welsbach Technology 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Welsbach Technology Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 11.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Welsbach Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Welsbach Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Welsbach Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Welsbach TechnologyWelsbach Technology Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Welsbach Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Welsbach Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Welsbach Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.27 and 11.27, respectively. We have considered Welsbach Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.27
11.27
Expected Value
11.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Welsbach Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Welsbach Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Welsbach Technology. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Welsbach Technology Metals and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Welsbach Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Welsbach Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2711.2711.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2711.2711.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.2711.2711.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Welsbach Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Welsbach Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Welsbach Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Welsbach Technology.

Other Forecasting Options for Welsbach Technology

For every potential investor in Welsbach, whether a beginner or expert, Welsbach Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Welsbach Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Welsbach. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Welsbach Technology's price trends.

Welsbach Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Welsbach Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Welsbach Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Welsbach Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Welsbach Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Welsbach Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Welsbach Technology's current price.

Welsbach Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Welsbach Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Welsbach Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Welsbach Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Welsbach Technology Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Welsbach Stock Analysis

When running Welsbach Technology's price analysis, check to measure Welsbach Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Welsbach Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Welsbach Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Welsbach Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Welsbach Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Welsbach Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.