XPLR Infrastructure Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| XIFR Stock | 9.69 0.13 1.32% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XPLR Infrastructure LP on the next trading day is expected to be 9.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.78. XPLR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although XPLR Infrastructure's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of XPLR Infrastructure's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of XPLR Infrastructure fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of XPLR Infrastructure's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.647 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.632 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.083 | Wall Street Target Price 11.375 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.3153 |
Using XPLR Infrastructure hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XPLR Infrastructure LP from the perspective of XPLR Infrastructure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards XPLR Infrastructure using XPLR Infrastructure's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards XPLR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of XPLR Infrastructure's stock price.
XPLR Infrastructure Short Interest
An investor who is long XPLR Infrastructure may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about XPLR Infrastructure and may potentially protect profits, hedge XPLR Infrastructure with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.6596 | Short Percent 0.0605 | Short Ratio 4.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.3 M | 50 Day MA 8.8098 |
XPLR Infrastructure Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to XPLR Infrastructure's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in XPLR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding XPLR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around XPLR Infrastructure LP. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
XPLR Infrastructure Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
XPLR Infrastructure's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of XPLR Infrastructure LP stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if XPLR Infrastructure's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that XPLR Infrastructure stock will not fluctuate a lot when XPLR Infrastructure's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XPLR Infrastructure LP on the next trading day is expected to be 9.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.78. XPLR Infrastructure after-hype prediction price | USD 9.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XPLR Infrastructure to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current XPLR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that XPLR Infrastructure LP will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With XPLR Infrastructure trading at USD 9.69, that is roughly USD 0.003997 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating XPLR Infrastructure's daily price movement you should consider acquiring XPLR Infrastructure LP options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 XPLR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast XPLR Infrastructure's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in XPLR Infrastructure's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for XPLR Infrastructure stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current XPLR Infrastructure's open interest, investors have to compare it to XPLR Infrastructure's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of XPLR Infrastructure is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in XPLR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
XPLR Infrastructure Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XPLR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XPLR using various technical indicators. When you analyze XPLR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
XPLR Infrastructure Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XPLR Infrastructure LP on the next trading day is expected to be 9.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XPLR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XPLR Infrastructure's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
XPLR Infrastructure Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest XPLR Infrastructure | XPLR Infrastructure Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
XPLR Infrastructure Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting XPLR Infrastructure's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XPLR Infrastructure's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.48 and 11.90, respectively. We have considered XPLR Infrastructure's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XPLR Infrastructure stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XPLR Infrastructure stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1941 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0093 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.163 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0169 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.78 |
Predictive Modules for XPLR Infrastructure
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XPLR Infrastructure. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.XPLR Infrastructure After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of XPLR Infrastructure at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XPLR Infrastructure or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XPLR Infrastructure, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
XPLR Infrastructure Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting XPLR Infrastructure's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XPLR Infrastructure's historical news coverage. XPLR Infrastructure's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.60 and 12.02, respectively. We have considered XPLR Infrastructure's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
XPLR Infrastructure is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XPLR Infrastructure is based on 3 months time horizon.
XPLR Infrastructure Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XPLR Infrastructure is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XPLR Infrastructure backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XPLR Infrastructure, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.21 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.69 | 9.81 | 0.10 |
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XPLR Infrastructure Hype Timeline
XPLR Infrastructure is at this time traded for 9.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. XPLR is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on XPLR Infrastructure is about 11050.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.69. About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.29. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. XPLR Infrastructure recorded a loss per share of 2.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XPLR Infrastructure to cross-verify your projections.XPLR Infrastructure Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to XPLR Infrastructure's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XPLR Infrastructure's future price movements. Getting to know how XPLR Infrastructure's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XPLR Infrastructure may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSEX | Middlesex Water | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.76 | (3.32) | 16.11 | |
| EAI | Entergy Arkansas LLC | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.47 | (0.20) | 0.71 | (0.81) | 2.15 | |
| ETI | BNP Paribas Easy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UTL | UNITIL | (0.16) | 8 per month | 1.27 | (0.04) | 1.70 | (1.55) | 7.11 | |
| NRGV | Energy Vault Holdings | 0.23 | 11 per month | 5.52 | 0.11 | 13.46 | (9.04) | 40.66 | |
| SPH | Suburban Propane Partners | (0.16) | 13 per month | 1.23 | (0.01) | 1.69 | (2.51) | 5.44 | |
| WTTR | Select Energy Services | 0.12 | 9 per month | 2.04 | 0.05 | 4.74 | (3.19) | 12.71 | |
| CDZI | Cadiz Inc | (0.17) | 9 per month | 3.48 | 0.09 | 8.11 | (6.10) | 20.69 | |
| CWCO | Consolidated Water Co | 0.38 | 10 per month | 1.63 | (0.01) | 2.17 | (2.82) | 11.83 | |
| NXXT | NextNRG | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 14.94 | (12.03) | 50.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for XPLR Infrastructure
For every potential investor in XPLR, whether a beginner or expert, XPLR Infrastructure's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XPLR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XPLR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XPLR Infrastructure's price trends.XPLR Infrastructure Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XPLR Infrastructure stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XPLR Infrastructure could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XPLR Infrastructure by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
XPLR Infrastructure Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XPLR Infrastructure stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XPLR Infrastructure shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XPLR Infrastructure stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XPLR Infrastructure LP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
XPLR Infrastructure Risk Indicators
The analysis of XPLR Infrastructure's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XPLR Infrastructure's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xplr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Variance | 4.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for XPLR Infrastructure
The number of cover stories for XPLR Infrastructure depends on current market conditions and XPLR Infrastructure's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XPLR Infrastructure is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XPLR Infrastructure's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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XPLR Infrastructure Short Properties
XPLR Infrastructure's future price predictability will typically decrease when XPLR Infrastructure's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XPLR Infrastructure LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XPLR Infrastructure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XPLR Infrastructure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 328 M |
Additional Tools for XPLR Stock Analysis
When running XPLR Infrastructure's price analysis, check to measure XPLR Infrastructure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XPLR Infrastructure is operating at the current time. Most of XPLR Infrastructure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XPLR Infrastructure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XPLR Infrastructure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XPLR Infrastructure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.