XPLR Infrastructure Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

XIFR Stock   11.16  0.64  6.08%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of XPLR Infrastructure LP on the next trading day is expected to be 9.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.11. XPLR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of XPLR Infrastructure's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of XPLR Infrastructure's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of XPLR Infrastructure and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from XPLR Infrastructure's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with XPLR Infrastructure LP, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using XPLR Infrastructure hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XPLR Infrastructure LP from the perspective of XPLR Infrastructure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of XPLR Infrastructure LP on the next trading day is expected to be 9.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.11.

XPLR Infrastructure after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XPLR Infrastructure to cross-verify your projections.

XPLR Infrastructure Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine XPLR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XPLR using various technical indicators. When you analyze XPLR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through XPLR Infrastructure price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

XPLR Infrastructure Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of XPLR Infrastructure LP on the next trading day is expected to be 9.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XPLR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XPLR Infrastructure's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

XPLR Infrastructure Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest XPLR InfrastructureXPLR Infrastructure Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

XPLR Infrastructure Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting XPLR Infrastructure's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XPLR Infrastructure's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.00 and 11.62, respectively. We have considered XPLR Infrastructure's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.16
9.31
Expected Value
11.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XPLR Infrastructure stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XPLR Infrastructure stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7826
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4373
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.045
SAESum of the absolute errors27.1095
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as XPLR Infrastructure LP historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for XPLR Infrastructure

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XPLR Infrastructure. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.0410.2012.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.769.9212.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.9510.1110.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as XPLR Infrastructure. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against XPLR Infrastructure's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, XPLR Infrastructure's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in XPLR Infrastructure.

Other Forecasting Options for XPLR Infrastructure

For every potential investor in XPLR, whether a beginner or expert, XPLR Infrastructure's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XPLR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XPLR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XPLR Infrastructure's price trends.

XPLR Infrastructure Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XPLR Infrastructure stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XPLR Infrastructure could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XPLR Infrastructure by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

XPLR Infrastructure Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of XPLR Infrastructure's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of XPLR Infrastructure's current price.

XPLR Infrastructure Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XPLR Infrastructure stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XPLR Infrastructure shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XPLR Infrastructure stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XPLR Infrastructure LP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

XPLR Infrastructure Risk Indicators

The analysis of XPLR Infrastructure's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XPLR Infrastructure's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xplr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with XPLR Infrastructure

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if XPLR Infrastructure position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in XPLR Infrastructure will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with XPLR Stock

  0.74VVPR VivoPower InternationalPairCorr
  0.7AES AESPairCorr

Moving against XPLR Stock

  0.68CEPU Central Puerto SA Downward RallyPairCorr
  0.56PKX POSCO HoldingsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to XPLR Infrastructure could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace XPLR Infrastructure when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back XPLR Infrastructure - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling XPLR Infrastructure LP to buy it.
The correlation of XPLR Infrastructure is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as XPLR Infrastructure moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if XPLR Infrastructure moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for XPLR Infrastructure can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for XPLR Stock Analysis

When running XPLR Infrastructure's price analysis, check to measure XPLR Infrastructure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XPLR Infrastructure is operating at the current time. Most of XPLR Infrastructure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XPLR Infrastructure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XPLR Infrastructure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XPLR Infrastructure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.