XOMA Corp Stock Forward View

XOMA Stock  USD 23.27  0.38  1.66%   
XOMA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast XOMA Corp stock prices and determine the direction of XOMA Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of XOMA Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the rsi of XOMA Corp's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of XOMA Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with XOMA Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting XOMA Corp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.005
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.17
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.674
Wall Street Target Price
64.5
Using XOMA Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XOMA Corp from the perspective of XOMA Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards XOMA Corp using XOMA Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards XOMA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of XOMA Corp's stock price.

XOMA Corp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in XOMA Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards XOMA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of XOMA Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
29.4882
Short Percent
0.113
Short Ratio
1.28
Shares Short Prior Month
824.9 K
50 Day MA
27.1732

XOMA Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of XOMA Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.11.

XOMA Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to XOMA Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in XOMA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding XOMA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around XOMA Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of XOMA Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about XOMA Corp.

XOMA Corp Implied Volatility

    
  1.7  
XOMA Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of XOMA Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if XOMA Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that XOMA Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when XOMA Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of XOMA Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.11.

XOMA Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XOMA Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade XOMA Stock refer to our How to Trade XOMA Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current XOMA contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that XOMA Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With XOMA Corp trading at USD 23.27, that is roughly USD 0.0247 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating XOMA Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring XOMA Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 XOMA Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast XOMA Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in XOMA Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for XOMA Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current XOMA Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to XOMA Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of XOMA Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in XOMA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

XOMA Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine XOMA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XOMA using various technical indicators. When you analyze XOMA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

XOMA Corp Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the XOMA Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-12-31
Previous Quarter
75.1 M
Current Value
90.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
31.4 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for XOMA Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of XOMA Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

XOMA Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of XOMA Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03, mean absolute percentage error of 2.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XOMA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XOMA Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

XOMA Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest XOMA Corp  XOMA Corp Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

XOMA Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting XOMA Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XOMA Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.53 and 27.92, respectively. We have considered XOMA Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.27
23.22
Expected Value
27.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XOMA Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XOMA Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.8281
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0347
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0367
SAESum of the absolute errors63.115
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of XOMA Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict XOMA Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for XOMA Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XOMA Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.4622.1926.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9633.1637.89
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
58.7064.5071.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.15-0.060.04
Details

XOMA Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of XOMA Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XOMA Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XOMA Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

XOMA Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting XOMA Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XOMA Corp's historical news coverage. XOMA Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.46 and 26.92, respectively. We have considered XOMA Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.27
22.19
After-hype Price
26.92
Upside
XOMA Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XOMA Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

XOMA Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XOMA Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XOMA Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XOMA Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
4.70
  1.03 
  0.02 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.27
22.19
4.72 
191.84  
Notes

XOMA Corp Hype Timeline

XOMA Corp is at this time traded for 23.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. XOMA is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.19. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 191.84%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.72%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on XOMA Corp is about 7966.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.25. About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of XOMA Corp was at this time reported as 7.14. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of January 2025. XOMA Corp had 1:20 split on the 18th of October 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XOMA Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade XOMA Stock refer to our How to Trade XOMA Stock guide.

XOMA Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to XOMA Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XOMA Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how XOMA Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XOMA Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GALTGalectin Therapeutics(0.32)9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 8.89 (8.92) 39.42 
IMABIMAB Old(0.58)5 per month 4.63  0.05  10.53 (8.92) 33.43 
BNTCBenitec Biopharma Ltd 0.85 7 per month 4.21 (0.02) 5.86 (6.12) 21.04 
RCKTRocket Pharmaceuticals(0.18)8 per month 3.19 (0.01) 8.04 (4.96) 19.80 
SLDBSolid Biosciences LLC(0.17)9 per month 3.04  0.14  11.36 (5.35) 21.63 
QSIQuantumSi 0.07 7 per month 0.00 (0.16) 7.09 (8.33) 18.33 
DSGNDesign Therapeutics(0.38)10 per month 3.52  0.14  9.28 (5.98) 18.90 
AURAAura Biosciences 0.03 10 per month 2.74  0  5.00 (5.34) 18.08 
AUTLAutolus Therapeutics(0.05)18 per month 4.73  0.02  10.45 (6.29) 30.76 
DMACDiaMedica Therapeutics 0.14 8 per month 4.49  0.07  7.96 (6.47) 24.12 

Other Forecasting Options for XOMA Corp

For every potential investor in XOMA, whether a beginner or expert, XOMA Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XOMA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XOMA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XOMA Corp's price trends.

XOMA Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XOMA Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XOMA Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XOMA Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

XOMA Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XOMA Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XOMA Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XOMA Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XOMA Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

XOMA Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of XOMA Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XOMA Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xoma stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for XOMA Corp

The number of cover stories for XOMA Corp depends on current market conditions and XOMA Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XOMA Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XOMA Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

XOMA Corp Short Properties

XOMA Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when XOMA Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XOMA Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XOMA Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XOMA Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments105.2 M
When determining whether XOMA Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of XOMA Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xoma Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xoma Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XOMA Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade XOMA Stock refer to our How to Trade XOMA Stock guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XOMA Corp. Anticipated expansion of XOMA directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive XOMA Corp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Earnings Share
0.76
Revenue Per Share
3.927
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.299
Return On Assets
0.0143
XOMA Corp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on XOMA's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate XOMA Corp's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since XOMA Corp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XOMA Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XOMA Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XOMA Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.