XOMA Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

XOMA Stock  USD 27.27  1.16  4.44%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of XOMA Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.04. XOMA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast XOMA Corp stock prices and determine the direction of XOMA Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of XOMA Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the rsi of XOMA Corp's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of XOMA Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with XOMA Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting XOMA Corp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.005
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.17
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.674
Wall Street Target Price
64.5
Using XOMA Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XOMA Corp from the perspective of XOMA Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards XOMA Corp using XOMA Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards XOMA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of XOMA Corp's stock price.

XOMA Corp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in XOMA Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards XOMA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of XOMA Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
29.0983
Short Percent
0.0566
Short Ratio
3.16
Shares Short Prior Month
482.5 K
50 Day MA
29.4562

XOMA Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to XOMA Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in XOMA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding XOMA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around XOMA Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of XOMA Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about XOMA Corp.

XOMA Corp Implied Volatility

    
  1.4  
XOMA Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of XOMA Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if XOMA Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that XOMA Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when XOMA Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of XOMA Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.04.

XOMA Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XOMA Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade XOMA Stock refer to our How to Trade XOMA Stock guide.At present, XOMA Corp's Inventory Turnover is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 76.70, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.17. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 14.1 M, whereas Net Loss is forecasted to decline to (27.3 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 XOMA Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast XOMA Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in XOMA Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for XOMA Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current XOMA Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to XOMA Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of XOMA Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in XOMA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

XOMA Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine XOMA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XOMA using various technical indicators. When you analyze XOMA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

XOMA Corp Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the XOMA Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-12-31
Previous Quarter
75.1 M
Current Value
90.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
31.4 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for XOMA Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of XOMA Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

XOMA Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of XOMA Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92, mean absolute percentage error of 1.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XOMA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XOMA Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

XOMA Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest XOMA CorpXOMA Corp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

XOMA Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting XOMA Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XOMA Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.25 and 30.43, respectively. We have considered XOMA Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.27
25.84
Expected Value
30.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XOMA Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XOMA Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6651
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9187
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.031
SAESum of the absolute errors56.0435
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of XOMA Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict XOMA Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for XOMA Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XOMA Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5426.1330.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5036.2040.79
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
58.7064.5071.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.15-0.060.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for XOMA Corp

For every potential investor in XOMA, whether a beginner or expert, XOMA Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XOMA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XOMA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XOMA Corp's price trends.

XOMA Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XOMA Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XOMA Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XOMA Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

XOMA Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of XOMA Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of XOMA Corp's current price.

XOMA Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XOMA Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XOMA Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XOMA Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XOMA Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

XOMA Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of XOMA Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XOMA Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xoma stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether XOMA Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of XOMA Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xoma Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xoma Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XOMA Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade XOMA Stock refer to our How to Trade XOMA Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XOMA Corp. If investors know XOMA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XOMA Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Earnings Share
0.75
Revenue Per Share
3.927
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.299
Return On Assets
0.0143
The market value of XOMA Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XOMA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XOMA Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XOMA Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XOMA Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XOMA Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XOMA Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XOMA Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XOMA Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.