XOMA Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| XOMA Stock | USD 23.27 0.38 1.66% |
XOMA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast XOMA Corp stock prices and determine the direction of XOMA Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of XOMA Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the rsi of XOMA Corp's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.005 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.17 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.674 | Wall Street Target Price 64.5 |
Using XOMA Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XOMA Corp from the perspective of XOMA Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards XOMA Corp using XOMA Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards XOMA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of XOMA Corp's stock price.
XOMA Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in XOMA Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards XOMA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of XOMA Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 29.4882 | Short Percent 0.113 | Short Ratio 1.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 824.9 K | 50 Day MA 27.1732 |
XOMA Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XOMA Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.71.XOMA Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to XOMA Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in XOMA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding XOMA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around XOMA Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of XOMA Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about XOMA Corp.
XOMA Corp Implied Volatility | 1.7 |
XOMA Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of XOMA Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if XOMA Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that XOMA Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when XOMA Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XOMA Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.71. XOMA Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 22.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XOMA Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current XOMA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that XOMA Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With XOMA Corp trading at USD 23.27, that is roughly USD 0.0247 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating XOMA Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring XOMA Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 XOMA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast XOMA Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in XOMA Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for XOMA Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current XOMA Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to XOMA Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of XOMA Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in XOMA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
XOMA Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XOMA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XOMA using various technical indicators. When you analyze XOMA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
XOMA Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XOMA Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 2.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XOMA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XOMA Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
XOMA Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest XOMA Corp | XOMA Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
XOMA Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting XOMA Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XOMA Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.54 and 28.00, respectively. We have considered XOMA Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XOMA Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XOMA Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8396 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.147 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8805 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0319 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.71 |
Predictive Modules for XOMA Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XOMA Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.XOMA Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of XOMA Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XOMA Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XOMA Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
XOMA Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting XOMA Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XOMA Corp's historical news coverage. XOMA Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.46 and 26.92, respectively. We have considered XOMA Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
XOMA Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XOMA Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
XOMA Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XOMA Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XOMA Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XOMA Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 4.73 | 1.08 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.27 | 22.19 | 4.72 |
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XOMA Corp Hype Timeline
XOMA Corp is at this time traded for 23.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. XOMA is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.19. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 193.06%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.72%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.44%. The volatility of related hype on XOMA Corp is about 8016.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.24. About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of XOMA Corp was at this time reported as 7.14. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of January 2025. XOMA Corp had 1:20 split on the 18th of October 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XOMA Corp to cross-verify your projections.XOMA Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to XOMA Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XOMA Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how XOMA Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XOMA Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GALT | Galectin Therapeutics | (0.32) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.89 | (8.92) | 39.42 | |
| IMAB | IMAB Old | (0.58) | 5 per month | 4.63 | 0.05 | 10.53 | (8.92) | 33.43 | |
| BNTC | Benitec Biopharma Ltd | 0.85 | 7 per month | 4.21 | (0.02) | 5.86 | (6.12) | 21.04 | |
| RCKT | Rocket Pharmaceuticals | (0.18) | 8 per month | 3.19 | (0.01) | 8.04 | (4.96) | 19.80 | |
| SLDB | Solid Biosciences LLC | (0.17) | 9 per month | 3.04 | 0.14 | 11.36 | (5.35) | 21.63 | |
| QSI | QuantumSi | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.09 | (8.33) | 18.33 | |
| DSGN | Design Therapeutics | (0.38) | 10 per month | 3.52 | 0.14 | 9.28 | (5.98) | 18.90 | |
| AURA | Aura Biosciences | 0.03 | 10 per month | 2.74 | 0 | 5.00 | (5.34) | 18.08 | |
| AUTL | Autolus Therapeutics | (0.05) | 18 per month | 4.73 | 0.02 | 10.45 | (6.29) | 30.76 | |
| DMAC | DiaMedica Therapeutics | 0.14 | 8 per month | 4.49 | 0.07 | 7.96 | (6.47) | 24.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for XOMA Corp
For every potential investor in XOMA, whether a beginner or expert, XOMA Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XOMA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XOMA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XOMA Corp's price trends.XOMA Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XOMA Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XOMA Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XOMA Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
XOMA Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XOMA Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XOMA Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XOMA Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XOMA Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 13440.13 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2923 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.06 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.51 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.38 |
XOMA Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of XOMA Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XOMA Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xoma stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.57 | |||
| Variance | 20.9 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for XOMA Corp
The number of cover stories for XOMA Corp depends on current market conditions and XOMA Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XOMA Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XOMA Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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XOMA Corp Short Properties
XOMA Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when XOMA Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XOMA Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XOMA Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XOMA Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 105.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XOMA Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade XOMA Stock refer to our How to Trade XOMA Stock guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XOMA Corp. Anticipated expansion of XOMA directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive XOMA Corp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Earnings Share 0.76 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.299 | Return On Assets |
XOMA Corp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on XOMA's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate XOMA Corp's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since XOMA Corp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XOMA Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XOMA Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XOMA Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.