Xylem Stock Forward View
| XYL Stock | USD 137.87 0.05 0.04% |
Xylem Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Xylem's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Xylem's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Xylem fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Xylem's share price is approaching 45. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Xylem, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.045 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3177 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.0623 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5553 | Wall Street Target Price 167.1765 |
Using Xylem hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xylem Inc from the perspective of Xylem response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Xylem using Xylem's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Xylem using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Xylem's stock price.
Xylem Short Interest
An investor who is long Xylem may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Xylem and may potentially protect profits, hedge Xylem with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 136.3568 | Short Percent 0.0149 | Short Ratio 2.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.3 M | 50 Day MA 139.574 |
Xylem Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xylem Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 135.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.93.Xylem Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Xylem's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Xylem. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Xylem can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Xylem Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Xylem's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Xylem.
Xylem Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
Xylem's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xylem Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xylem's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xylem stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xylem's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xylem Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 135.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.93. Xylem after-hype prediction price | USD 138.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xylem to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Xylem contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Xylem Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Xylem trading at USD 137.87, that is roughly USD 0.0319 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Xylem's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Xylem Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Xylem Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Xylem's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Xylem's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Xylem stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Xylem's open interest, investors have to compare it to Xylem's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Xylem is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Xylem. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Xylem Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xylem price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xylem using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xylem charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Xylem Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Xylem's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2009-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.2 B | Current Value 1.2 B | Quarterly Volatility 444.6 M |
Xylem Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xylem Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 135.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52, mean absolute percentage error of 3.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xylem Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xylem's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Xylem Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Xylem | Xylem Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Xylem Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Xylem's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xylem's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 134.00 and 136.73, respectively. We have considered Xylem's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xylem stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xylem stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.2985 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.515 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0107 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 93.9302 |
Predictive Modules for Xylem
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xylem Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xylem's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xylem After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xylem at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xylem or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xylem, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xylem Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xylem's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xylem's historical news coverage. Xylem's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 136.72 and 139.46, respectively. We have considered Xylem's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xylem is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xylem Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xylem Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xylem is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xylem backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xylem, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.37 | 0.22 | 0.07 | 38 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 38 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
137.87 | 138.09 | 0.16 |
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Xylem Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Xylem Inc is traded for 137.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Xylem is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 138.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 69.9%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Xylem is about 211.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 137.94. The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.56 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 890 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.4 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 38 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xylem to cross-verify your projections.Xylem Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xylem's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xylem's future price movements. Getting to know how Xylem's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xylem may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DOV | Dover | (1.99) | 8 per month | 0.88 | 0.12 | 2.96 | (1.82) | 5.92 | |
| AOS | Smith AO | 0.87 | 10 per month | 1.24 | (0.02) | 2.24 | (2.21) | 7.54 | |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | 0.11 | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.05 | 2.40 | (2.12) | 6.22 | |
| FELE | Franklin Electric Co | 1.47 | 7 per month | 1.18 | (0.04) | 2.56 | (1.83) | 6.31 | |
| GGG | Graco Inc | 1.47 | 9 per month | 1.11 | 0.04 | 2.46 | (1.86) | 6.74 | |
| FLS | Flowserve | 0.79 | 12 per month | 0.93 | 0.15 | 2.55 | (2.33) | 34.18 | |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | 3.91 | 25 per month | 0.72 | 0.16 | 2.68 | (1.79) | 6.54 | |
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 5.14 | 9 per month | 0.66 | 0.18 | 2.46 | (1.57) | 9.94 | |
| PNR | Pentair PLC | 1.15 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.77 | (2.39) | 7.55 | |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | (2.78) | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.09 | 2.34 | (2.84) | 8.01 | |
| ITT | ITT Inc | (0.21) | 8 per month | 1.76 | 0.02 | 2.20 | (2.11) | 17.49 | |
| IR | Ingersoll Rand | 0.55 | 32 per month | 1.39 | 0.06 | 3.74 | (2.52) | 8.77 | |
| ETN | Eaton PLC | (2.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.09 | (4.15) | 8.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Xylem
For every potential investor in Xylem, whether a beginner or expert, Xylem's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xylem Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xylem. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xylem's price trends.Xylem Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xylem stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xylem could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xylem by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Xylem Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xylem stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xylem shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xylem stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Xylem Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Xylem Risk Indicators
The analysis of Xylem's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xylem's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xylem stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9968 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Variance | 1.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Xylem
The number of cover stories for Xylem depends on current market conditions and Xylem's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xylem is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xylem's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xylem Short Properties
Xylem's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xylem's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xylem Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xylem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xylem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 243.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xylem to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xylem. Anticipated expansion of Xylem directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Xylem assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.045 | Dividend Share 1.56 | Earnings Share 3.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.078 |
The market value of Xylem Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xylem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xylem's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xylem's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xylem's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xylem's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xylem's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xylem is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Xylem's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.