Yalla Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| YALA Stock | USD 7.12 0.42 6.27% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Yalla Group on the next trading day is expected to be 7.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.37. Yalla Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Yalla stock prices and determine the direction of Yalla Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Yalla's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Yalla's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.045 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.88 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.93 | Wall Street Target Price 9.6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.008 |
Using Yalla hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Yalla Group from the perspective of Yalla response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Yalla using Yalla's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Yalla using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Yalla's stock price.
Yalla Implied Volatility | 1.18 |
Yalla's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Yalla Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Yalla's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Yalla stock will not fluctuate a lot when Yalla's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Yalla Group on the next trading day is expected to be 7.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.37. Yalla after-hype prediction price | USD 7.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yalla to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Yalla Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Yalla's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Yalla's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Yalla stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Yalla's open interest, investors have to compare it to Yalla's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Yalla is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Yalla. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Yalla Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Yalla price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Yalla using various technical indicators. When you analyze Yalla charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Yalla Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Yalla's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2019-03-31 | Previous Quarter 343 M | Current Value 422.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 147.6 M |
Yalla Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Yalla Group on the next trading day is expected to be 7.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yalla Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yalla's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Yalla Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Yalla | Yalla Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Yalla Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Yalla's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yalla's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.84 and 9.29, respectively. We have considered Yalla's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yalla stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yalla stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1214 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1044 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0147 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.3673 |
Predictive Modules for Yalla
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yalla Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yalla After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Yalla at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Yalla or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Yalla, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Yalla Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Yalla's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Yalla's historical news coverage. Yalla's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.89 and 9.35, respectively. We have considered Yalla's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Yalla is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yalla Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Yalla Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Yalla is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yalla backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Yalla, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.12 | 7.12 | 0.00 |
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Yalla Hype Timeline
Yalla Group is at this time traded for 7.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Yalla is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Yalla is about 1991.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.12. About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Yalla Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.64. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yalla to cross-verify your projections.Yalla Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Yalla's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Yalla's future price movements. Getting to know how Yalla's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Yalla may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HKD | AMTD Digital | (0.02) | 10 per month | 5.21 | 0.01 | 5.51 | (8.72) | 93.20 | |
| UPBD | Upbound Group | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.61 | (4.18) | 19.09 | |
| FSLY | Fastly Class A | 0.18 | 10 per month | 2.82 | 0.05 | 5.70 | (5.51) | 44.62 | |
| PDFS | PDF Solutions | 1.01 | 10 per month | 2.51 | 0.11 | 4.24 | (4.68) | 10.85 | |
| TIXT | TELUS International | 0.18 | 20 per month | 0.92 | 0.05 | 2.41 | (1.78) | 17.91 | |
| PRO | PROS Holdings | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.29 | 0.12 | 3.23 | (0.74) | 41.02 | |
| AMPL | Amplitude | 0.22 | 10 per month | 2.46 | 0.02 | 4.19 | (4.44) | 14.37 | |
| RZLV | Rezolve AI Limited | 0.19 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 14.04 | (9.73) | 51.01 | |
| KARO | Karooooo | 0.04 | 7 per month | 1.67 | (0.02) | 5.33 | (2.84) | 10.32 | |
| GCT | GigaCloud Technology Class | (0.37) | 11 per month | 2.52 | 0.13 | 5.71 | (5.45) | 36.06 |
Other Forecasting Options for Yalla
For every potential investor in Yalla, whether a beginner or expert, Yalla's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yalla Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yalla. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yalla's price trends.Yalla Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yalla stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yalla could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yalla by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Yalla Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yalla stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yalla shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yalla stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yalla Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Yalla Risk Indicators
The analysis of Yalla's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yalla's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yalla stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Variance | 4.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.3 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Yalla
The number of cover stories for Yalla depends on current market conditions and Yalla's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Yalla is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Yalla's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Yalla Short Properties
Yalla's future price predictability will typically decrease when Yalla's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Yalla Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Yalla's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yalla's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 183.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 654.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yalla to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yalla. If investors know Yalla will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Yalla listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.045 | Earnings Share 0.87 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.008 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Yalla Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Yalla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Yalla's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Yalla's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Yalla's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Yalla's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yalla's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yalla is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yalla's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.